首页|数字经济影响商业经济韧性的实证研究

数字经济影响商业经济韧性的实证研究

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商业已成为国民经济运行发展的晴雨表及综合国力的象征,提升商业经济韧性对城市经济高质量发展具有重要意义.基于2011-2020年中国276个地级及以上城市面板数据,构建综合指标体系测度城市商业经济韧性,以2014年我国首次颁布的"宽带中国"试点政策为准自然实验,通过多期双重差分模型实证分析数字经济对城市商业经济韧性的影响效应,运用PSM-DID方法、安慰剂检验等进行稳健性检验,研究显示:2011-2020年,全国城市商业经济韧性呈整体上升趋势,年均增长率达6.09%;从各区域来看,城市商业经济韧性呈现沿海向内陆递减趋势;"宽带中国"政策显著提升了城市商业经济韧性,对城市商业创新力的促进作用最明显,其次是恢复力和抵抗力,且作用是即期的.进一步进行异质性检验发现,受城市行政等级及规模影响,"宽带中国"政策对城市商业经济韧性的影响效应在非省会城市和中小规模城市表现为促进作用,但在省会城市和大规模城市影响不显著.为深化数字经济对城市商业经济韧性的推动作用,应促进数字技术同商业企业深入融合;优化数字基础设施建设,充分释放数字经济效能;以数字经济为着力点,推进区域间城市商业经济韧性协调发展.
An Empirical Study on the Impact of the Digital Economy on the Resilience of the Business Economy
Business serves as a barometer for the operation and advancement of the national economy and a reflection of overall national strength.Strengthening the resilience of the business economy is cru-cial for the high-quality development of the urban economy.This study utilizes panel data from 276 prefecture-level and above cities in China spanning from 2011 to 2020 to establish a comprehensive indi-cator system for assessing the resilience of the urban business economy.By examining the initial imple-mentation of the"Broadband China"pilot policy in 2014 as a quasi-natural experiment,the paper em-pirically investigates the influence of the digital economy on the resilience of the urban business economy using a multi-period difference-in-difference model.Robustness tests are conducted employ-ing the PSM-DID method and placebo test.The research shows that from 2011 to 2020,the resilience of urban business economy in China has shown an overall upward trend,with an average annual growth rate of 6.09%.From a regional perspective,the resilience of the urban business economy shows a de-creasing trend from the coastal to the inland areas.The"Broadband China"policy has significantly en-hanced the resilience of the urban business economy,with the most evident promotion effect on the inno-vation capability of urban business,followed by the recovery capability and resistance capability,and the effect is immediate.Further heterogeneity analysis finds that the impact of the"Broadband China"policy on the resilience of the urban business economy is promoted in non-provincial capital cities and medium and small cities,but not significant in provincial capital cities and large cities,influenced by factors like city administrative level and scale.To deepen the driving role of the digital economy in the re-silience of the urban business economy,it is necessary to promote the deep integration of digital tech-nologies and business enterprises,optimize the construction of digital infrastructure,enhance the effi-ciency of the digital economy and take the digital economy as the focus to promote the coordinated devel-opment of the resilience of the urban business economy across regions.

digital economyresilience of business economicBroadband Chinamulti-period difference-in-differences method

唐红涛、熊望台、谢婷

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湖南工商大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙 410205

广东财经大学经济学院,广东广州 510320

数字经济 商业经济韧性 宽带中国 多期双重差分法

2024

兰州财经大学学报
兰州商学院

兰州财经大学学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.466
ISSN:1004-5465
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)