兰州交通大学学报2024,Vol.43Issue(3) :104-115.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2096-9066.2024.03.012

考虑具有营销努力的双渠道供应链动态均衡

Dynamic Balancing of Dual-channel Supply Chains with Marketing Efforts Considering Consumer Channel Preferences

沈转霞 吕卫东 王倩
兰州交通大学学报2024,Vol.43Issue(3) :104-115.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2096-9066.2024.03.012

考虑具有营销努力的双渠道供应链动态均衡

Dynamic Balancing of Dual-channel Supply Chains with Marketing Efforts Considering Consumer Channel Preferences

沈转霞 1吕卫东 1王倩1
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作者信息

  • 1. 兰州交通大学 数理学院,兰州 730070
  • 折叠

摘要

营销努力是发现或研究潜在消费者需求的过程,营销努力可以使企业利润产生浮动.在此背景下,构建了考虑营销努力的双渠道供应链动态博弈模型,并分析了系统均衡点的稳定性条件.通过数值模拟的方法,研究了系统分岔图、以及共存吸引子的演化情况.研究结果表明,需求调整速度、消费者渠道偏好、制造商营销努力投入系数、制造商与零售商需求敏感系数等因素都对系统稳定性产生影响.较小的调整速度和中等程度的营销努力投入有利于供应链成员实现最优利润.同时,渠道偏好系数和营销努力程度需要保持在一定范围内,否则市场会失去稳定性并呈现混沌状态.

Abstract

Marketing effort plays a crucial role in identifying and understanding potential consumer demand and cause the business profits to fluctuate.Against this background,this study aims to construct a dynamic game model of a dual-channel supply chain that incorporates marketing efforts and analyze the stability conditions of the system equi-librium.Numerical simulations are exerted to analyze complex dynamic behaviors of the system,such as bifurcation diagram and evolution of coexistence attractors.The results demonstrate that factors such as the speed of demand ad-justment,consumer channel preference,manufacturer's marketing effort input factor,and manufacturer's and retailer's demand sensitivity coefficient all have an impact on system stability.Notably,it is observed that there exists a critical threshold for marketing effort,beyond which the system exhibits chaotic behavior.These findings provide valuable insights for managers to enhance their marketing strategies and ensure the stability of the dual-channel supply chain.At the same time,the channel preference coefficient and marketing effort need to be kept within a certain range,oth-erwise the market will lose stability and present a chaotic state.

关键词

均衡点/营销努力/稳定性/渠道偏好

Key words

equilibrium point/marketing effort/stability/channel preference

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(11961039)

出版年

2024
兰州交通大学学报
兰州交通大学

兰州交通大学学报

影响因子:0.532
ISSN:1001-4373
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