首页|热门城市旅游产业发展对经济增长的影响效应研究——以GDP过万亿城市为例

热门城市旅游产业发展对经济增长的影响效应研究——以GDP过万亿城市为例

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GDP过万亿城市作为旅游热门城市,具有衡量旅游业发展水平与经济增长效率的突出代表性,对推动产业融合发展,构建现代产业体系价值显著.本文选取我国GDP过万亿城市作为样本城市,通过构建综合全面的研究指标体系,运用聚类分析法、线性回归模型、稳健性检验等研究方法,测算分析2012-2021年间样本城市旅游产业对经济增长的耦合协调度,并进行线性回归分析.研究结果显示样本城市旅游产业均对经济发展呈现正向促进作用,但城市间存在的现实差距导致旅游业对经济发展的影响作用显著不同,其中,吸附型旅游城市旅游产业与经济发展耦合水平处于高度融合阶段,持平型旅游城市处于良好互动阶段,输出型旅游城市仍有待优化提升,建议样本城市应当结合自身实际,探索旅游产业与经济增长融合可持续发展模式,推动实现城市高质量发展.
Study on the Influence of Tourism Development on Economic Growth in Popular Cities Taking Cities with GDP Exceeding One Trillion Yuan as Examples
Cities with a GDP of more than one trillion yuan are popular tourism cities,which have a prominent repre-sentation of measuring the development level of tourism and economic growth efficiency,and have significant value in promoting the integrated development of industries and building a modern industrial system.This paper selects some Chinese cities with a GDP over one trillion yuan as sample cities,constructs a comprehensive research index system,uses cluster analysis,linear regression model,robustness test and other research methods to measure and analyze the coupling coordination degree of tourism industry to economic growth of sample cities from 2012 to 2021,and con-ducts linear regression analysis.The research results show that the tourism industry of the sample cities has a posi-tive promoting effect on economic development,but the reality gap between cities leads to a significant difference in the impact of tourism on economic development.Among them,the coupling level of tourism industry and economic development of adsorption tourism cities is in a highly integrated stage,while that of flat tourism cities is in a good interactive stage.Export-oriented tourism cities still need to be optimized and improved.It is suggested that sample cities should explore the sustainable development mode of integrating tourism industry and economic growth accord-ing to their own realities,and promote the realization of high-quality urban development.

tourism industryeconomic growthinfluence effectinteractive integrationcoordinated development

张林、孙永权、寇勇

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西安市发展和改革委员会经济研究所,西安 710007

陕西省林业局,西安 710000

旅游产业 经济增长 影响效应 互动融合 协同发展

国家社会科学基金陕西省社会科学基金

19CGL0042019D013

2024

兰州交通大学学报
兰州交通大学

兰州交通大学学报

影响因子:0.532
ISSN:1001-4373
年,卷(期):2024.43(3)