Availability Analysis of Collaborative Convective Forecast Product from the Civil Aviation Meteorological Center
Collaborative Convective Forecast Product(CCFP)is an important meteorological support product in civil aviation operation.At present,the CCFP products made and released by the Meteorological Center of the Air Traffic Management Bureau of the Civil Aviation Administration of China(hereinafter referred to as Beijing)have not been widely used.In order to analyze the availability and effectiveness of these products,the CCFP products made in Beijing in the summers of 2021-2022 are tested and evaluated.By comparing the coverage rate,false alarm rate,hit rate and threat score of convective forecast,it is found that the CCFP products produced and released by Beijing have better forecast effect in summer;the shorter the forecast time,the better the forecast effect;when a large area of thunderstorms affect major airports or routes across the country,the refined convective weather forecast for the next 2-8 hours provided by CCFP products is more targeted and effective and makes it easy for flow management departments to arrange air travel reasonably according to the future distribution and development trend of convective weather,and minimize flight irregularities caused by convective weather.
万方数据
维普
