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数字经济发展对农业碳排放的影响及作用机制

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数字经济是农业绿色低碳发展的重要驱动力,厘清数字经济对农业碳排放强度的影响机理,可为我国农业低碳绿色发展提供路径参考.论文采用主成分分析法测算了2011-2022年中国30个省(自治区、直辖市,不含西藏自治区与港澳台地区)数字经济发展指标,探究了数字经济发展对我国农业碳排放的影响及其作用机理.实证研究表明:第一,数字经济的发展对农业碳排放的抑制效应显著.通过替换核心解释变量、剔除直辖市和因变量滞后一期等方式进行再检验之后,结论依然稳健.第二,数字经济发展可以通过适度规模和绿色金融两个传导机制降低农业碳排放.第三,数字经济的发展对农业的碳排放影响表现出区域性的不同.从异质性分析来看,在中西部地区、北方地区、非粮食主产区和科技投入高的地区,发展数字经济对农业碳排放的抑制作用尤为明显.鉴于此,论文从因地制宜发展数字经济、促进农业适度规模经营和加大绿色金融服务供给等方面提出政策建议,以期进一步推动我国农业的可持续发展.
The Impact and Mechanism of Digital Economy Development on Agricultural Carbon Emissions
Digital economy is an important driving force for the green and low-carbon development of agriculture.Clarifying the impact mechanism of digital economy on agricultural carbon emission intensity can provide a path reference for the low-carbon and green development of agriculture in China.This paper uses the principal component analysis method to calculate the digital economy development indicators of 30 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government,excluding Tibet Autonomous Region and Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)in China from 2011 to 2022,and explores the impact of digital economy development on China's agricultural carbon emissions and its mechanism.The empirical research shows that:First,the development of digital economy has a significant inhibitory effect on agricultural carbon emissions.After retesting by replacing the main explanatory variables,excluding the central government and the dependent variables,the conclusion is still robust.Second,the development of digital economy can reduce agricultural carbon emissions through two transmission mechanisms of moderate scale and green finance.Third,the impact of the development of the digital economy on agricultural carbon emissions shows regional differences.From the perspective of heterogeneity analysis,in the central and western regions,northern regions,non-grain-producing areas and areas with high scientific and technological input,the development of digital economy has a particularly significant inhibitory effect on agricultural carbon emissions.In view of this,the paper puts forward policy suggestions from the aspects of developing digital economy according to local conditions,promoting the appropriate scale management of agriculture and increasing the supply of green financial services,so as to further promote the sustainable development of China's agriculture.

Digital EconomyAgricultural Carbon EmissionsAppropriate ScaleGreen FinanceAgricultural Technology

孟维福、石可敬、李建英

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河北经贸大学金融学院

河北经贸大学城乡产业融合协同中心

河北经贸大学经济研究所

数字经济 农业碳排放 适度规模 绿色金融 农业技术

河北省社会科学基金项目

HB21LJ007

2024

农村金融研究
中国农村金融学会

农村金融研究

北大核心
影响因子:0.477
ISSN:1003-1812
年,卷(期):2024.(7)
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