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数字普惠金融对居民收入流动的影响研究

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论文从数字普惠金融"红利"与"鸿沟"的双重视角,基于中国家庭追踪调查数据(CFPS2010-2020年),使用面板Ordered-Probit模型实证检验了数字普惠金融对居民收入流动的非线性影响.基准结果发现,数字普惠金融对居民收入向上流动存在"倒U型"影响,数字普惠金融的覆盖广度和数字化程度对居民收入向上流动表现出显著"倒U型"影响特征,而数字普惠金融使用深度则不显著.机制分析显示,数字普惠金融对家庭流动性约束与家庭金融资产配置效率的非线性影响是其影响居民收入流动的作用机制.异质性分析表明,数字普惠金融对城市家庭和东部发达地区的居民收入向上流动存在显著的倒U型影响,对强金融监管地区具有显著促进作用,而对基期最低收入阶层和中西部欠发达地区的家庭收入向上流动影响不显著.论文结论为数字普惠金融助力居民收入向上流动提供了新的经验证据,也为规范居民财富积累机制提供了有益政策参考.
Research on the Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Residents'Income Mobility
From the dual perspectives of the"dividend"and"divide"of digital inclusive finance,this paper empirically tests the nonlinear impact of digital inclusive finance on residents'income mobility using the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)data from 2010 to 2020 through a panel Ordered-Probit model.The baseline findings reveal an inverted U-shaped influence of digital inclusive finance on upward income mobility among residents.This is primarily attributed to the significant positive effects of the coverage and digitization level of digital inclusive finance on upward income mobility,while the depth of digital inclusive finance usage is not significant.Mechanism analysis indicates that digital inclusive finance mainly influences upward income mobility through household liquidity constraints and the efficiency of household financial asset allocation,with certain threshold effects observed.Heterogeneity analysis shows that digital inclusive finance has a significant inverted U-shaped impact on upward income mobility among urban households and residents in developed eastern regions,and it significantly promotes upward income mobility in areas with strong financial regulation.However,it does not significantly enhance upward income mobility among low-income households in the base period or in less developed central and western regions.The conclusions of this paper provide new empirical evidence for digital inclusive finance in facilitating upward income mobility among residents and offer valuable policy insights for regulating wealth accumulation mechanisms.

Digital Inclusive FinanceIncome MobilityDividend EffectGap Effect

申云、刘彦君、李梓萌

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四川农业大学经济学院

数字普惠金融 收入流动 红利效应 鸿沟效应

2024

农村金融研究
中国农村金融学会

农村金融研究

北大核心
影响因子:0.477
ISSN:1003-1812
年,卷(期):2024.(11)