In recent years,the global climate has undergone significant changes,characterised by warming.This warming is projected to intensify in the future.Studies have demonstrated that warming can lead to reduced crop yields.Rice,one of the three major food crops in China,is particularly susceptible to the effects of climate change in terms of its yield.It is of great importance and far-reaching significance to assess how climate change affects rice yields and the effectiveness of major adaptation measures in order to ensure food security and national stability.This study analyzed rice growth at nine agro-meteorological stations in Hubei Province.Then the latest released Shared Socioeconomic Pathways(SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5)scenarios were coupled with five general circulation models(GFDL-ESM4,IPSL-CMA-LR,MPI-ESM1-2-HR,MRI-ESM2-0,and UKESM1-0-LL)to evaluate changes in rice production and phenological.Rice growth was simulated using the CERES-Rice v4.6 model based on high-quality meteorological,soil,and field management data.The results indicated that rice yield will continue to decrease in Hubei Province under the future climate scenarios.This study is of great significance in revealing the mechanisms of climate change impacts on rice production in the tropical regions,and in proactively addressing climate change and proposing rational adaptation strategies.
维普
万方数据