首页|核事故场内多智能体博弈疏散动力学分析

核事故场内多智能体博弈疏散动力学分析

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核事故危险性大容易引发群众恐慌,且会对社会秩序和公共安全造成严重威胁,应急疏散对降低人员伤亡具有重要意义,疏散过程中个体之间的相互作用与博弈是群体动态演化的重要机制.本研究旨在模拟核事故场内人员疏散中冲突行人之间的复杂互动行为,将空间博弈理论与元胞自动机模型相结合,建立了基于智能体博弈的人员疏散动力学.疏散模型中考虑了具有两类行为的疏散人员,即选择行为和模仿行为.疏散人员分别考虑了三种博弈策略即耐心策略 Patient(P)、正常策略Normal(N)、不耐烦策略Inpatient(I),P策略倾向于合作,I策略更倾向于竞争,而N介于两者之间.通过数值研究表明:在紧急情况下,疏散人员更倾向于竞争;摩擦成本和个体行为也会对疏散策略的选择产生影响.
Evacuation Dynamics Analysis of Multi-agent Game in Nuclear Accident Field
Nuclear accidents are dangerous and easy to cause panic among the masses,and pose a serious threat to social order and public safety.Emergency evacuation is of great significance to reduce casualties and the interaction and game between individuals in the e-vacuation process are also important mechanisms of group dynamic evolution.This study aims to simulate the complex interaction behaviors among conflicting pedestrians during e-vacuation in a nuclear accident site.By combining spatial game theory with cellular au-tomata model,the evacuation dynamics based on agent game is established.Evacuees with two types of behaviors,namely selection behavior and imitation behavior,are considered in the evacuation model.The evacuees considered three game strategies:Patient,Normal,and Inpatient,with P being more cooperative,I more competitive,and N somewhere in between.Through numerical simulation,the results show that:evacuees are more inclined to compete in emergency situations;friction cost and individual behavior will also affect the choice of evacuation strategy.

agent gameevacuation dynamicsfriction cost

戴剑勇、高文卉、张澳、李佩东、张雨婷

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南华大学 资源环境与安全工程学院,湖南 衡阳 421001

核设施应急安全技术与装备湖南省重点实验室,湖南 衡阳 421001

智能体博弈 疏散动力学 摩擦成本

2024

南华大学学报(自然科学版)
南华大学

南华大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.286
ISSN:1673-0062
年,卷(期):2024.38(5)