Analysis of Variation of Meteorological Conditions for Moutai Liquor Production Based on Multiple Imputation Method
The multiple imputation method was used to reconstruct the 63-year climate data series around Moutai Distillery,and variation evaluation,sliding t-test,Mann-Kendall test and wavelet analysis were carried out.The results show that the data obtained by multiple imputation method can pro-vide reference for research on actual climate,and median imputation is superior to mean imputation in stability.In the past 63 years,the average tem-perature around Moutai Distillery increased by 0.20℃ per 10 years.In the next 14 years,there will be a period of fluctuating temperature decline,which is conducive to the quality stability of Moutai Liquor.The cumulative precipitation and average humidity decreased by 40.2 mm to 41.8 mm and 0.6％per 10 years,respectively.In the next 10 to 13 years,there will be a period of fluctuating precipitation decline,which is not conducive to the production of Moutai Liquor.The average wind speed decreased by 0.10 m/s per 10 years.In the next 11 years,there will be a period of fluctuat-ing wind speed decline,but the change range is small,having little effect on the production of Moutai Liquor.
multiple imputation methodMoutai Liquor productionvariation of meteorological conditionstime series analysis
万方数据
维普
