老龄化发展对我国人口健康转变的影响
The Influence of Ageing Development on the Health Transition in China
陈卫 1董隽含2
作者信息
- 1. 中国人民大学 人口与发展研究中心,北京 100872
- 2. 中国人民大学 社会与人口学院,北京 100872
- 折叠
摘要
使用联合国2022 年世界人口展望数据、2019 年全球疾病负担数据和世界卫生组织提供的死亡率数据,应用因素分解方法考察了我国人口老龄化进程及其对健康转变的影响.研究发现,我国进入老龄化的时间相对较晚,但老龄化速度相对较快,人口老龄化已成为难以逆转的人口发展趋势.在人口老龄化程度倍增期间,我国传染性疾病和伤害的粗死亡率呈下降趋势,但非传染性疾病的粗死亡率呈增长趋势,而且增长速度快于其他国家.老龄化在一定程度上增加了我国的疾病负担,未来我国死因别粗死亡率将呈增长趋势,面临传染性疾病和非传染性疾病负担增大的双重挑战.
Abstract
This study investigated the ageing process in China and its impact on health transition based on the data from World Population Prospects 2022,the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 and World Health Or-ganization Mortality Database by using decomposition analysis method.The results show that the ageing time in China is relatively late,but the ageing rate is relatively fast,and the population ageing has become an irre-versible trend.During the period of double-increasing population ageing,the crude death rate from communi-cable diseases and injuries has declined,but that from non-communicable diseases has increased,and at a faster rate than other countries.Population ageing has increased the burden of diseases,and crude death rate from different causes would show an increasing trend,facing the dual burden of communicable diseases and non-communicable diseases in the future in China.
关键词
人口老龄化/健康转变/传染性疾病/非传染性疾病Key words
population ageing/health transition/communicable diseases/noncommunicable diseases引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社会科学基金重点项目(22AZD083)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据