首页|京津冀协同发展下流动人口格局演变与天津人口流出问题研究

京津冀协同发展下流动人口格局演变与天津人口流出问题研究

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使用人口普查数据分析京津冀城市群流动人口格局变化趋势,重点关注天津人口流出问题.研究发现,京津冀省市的流动人口呈现出增长差异显著、省际人口流动不均衡、内部流动更加活跃、流动动机多元化等趋势.尽管京津冀协同发展政策在一定程度上促进了区域人口流动,但并未显著加速人口流入天津,反而天津的流出人口增幅较大.天津人口发展面临流入人口大幅减少、人口老龄化程度加深、就业市场不容乐观以及市内人户分离情况加剧等多重挑战.需要从人口协同治理、产业结构优化、就业市场激活、城市功能优化等方面进行应对.为促进城市群人口更加有序流动,城市群中大中小城市需明确定位,发挥特色避免同质化竞争,破除人口流动的各种障碍.
The Evolution of Migrant Population Patterns and the Population Outflow Issue in Tianjin under Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Coordinated Development
Using census data,this study analyzes the population migration trends within the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,with a particular focus on the issue of population loss in Tianjin.It is found that there are obvi-ous differences in the growth of floating population in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei cities,showing a trend of unbal-anced inter-provincial flow,active internal flow and diversified patterns of flow.Although the coordinated de-velopment policy of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has facilitated regional population mobility,it has not sig-nificantly accelerated the influx of population into Tianjin,instead,Tianjin has experienced the highest rate of population outflow among the three areas.The population development of Tianjin is faced with multiple challen-ges such as the sharp decrease of the inflow population,the pessimistic job market and the aggravation of aging population and the separation of residence and household registration.It is necessary to respond from the as-pects of population coordination management,industrial structure optimization,job market activation,and ur-ban function optimization.In order to effectively deal with the problem of population flow in the development of urban agglomerations,the main bodies of urban agglomerations should be clearly positioned,reshape urban functions and upgrade industries,and remove institutional barriers restricting population flow.

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebeicollaborative developmentfloating populationpopulation outflowTianjin

程梦瑶、安明格

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天津理工大学 社会发展学院,天津 300384

京津冀 协同发展 流动人口 人口流出 天津

国家社会科学基金重大项目

20&ZD172

2024

人口与社会
南京人口管理干部学院

人口与社会

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.592
ISSN:1007-032X
年,卷(期):2024.40(2)
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