首页|中国成年流动人口二代的规模、特征与演变趋势

中国成年流动人口二代的规模、特征与演变趋势

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基于历次全国人口普查和中国流动人口动态监测调查(CMDS)等数据,对我国成年流动人口二代的规模与特征进行了系统分析.研究发现,2010 年以来成年流动人口二代的规模与比重呈现不断上升趋势,截至2020 年,18~45 岁流动人口二代已达到1.59 亿人,占我国 18~45 岁劳动年龄人口的29.89%.相较于非流动人口二代,流动人口二代成年后的发展普遍更差,在受教育程度、经济收入和经济状况满意度3 个关键方面均处于相对较低水平,且女性受留守经历的影响更大.人口预测结果表明,成年流动人口二代的规模将不断上升,占青壮年劳动力的比重在 2035 年甚至会超过一半,因此其发展问题应引起更大重视.针对流动人口及其子女发展的政策应树立"全生命周期"理念,流动人口二代成年后的发展也需要有相应的政策支持,同时城市的发展规划、公共服务提供等政策安排应按常住人口统筹.
The Second Generation of Floating Population since Adulthood:Size,Characteristics,and Trends
Based on data from the population censuses and CMDS,this study systematically analyzes the size and characteristics of the adult second generation of floating population.It is found that the size and proportion of the adult second generation of floating population have shown a rising trend since 2010.By 2020,the adult second generation of floating population aged 18~45 has reached 159 million,accounting for 29.89%of China's working-age population aged 18~45.Compared with the second generation of the non-floating popula-tion,the second generation of the floating population generally performs worse in their adult development,with relatively low levels of educational attainment,income and satisfaction with their economic situation.In addi-tion,women are more affected by the left-behind experience.Population prediction shows that the size of the adult second generation of floating population will continue to rise,accounting for more than half of the young adult labor force by 2035,so their development should be given greater attention.Policies for the development of the floating population and their children should be based on the concept of the"full life cycle",and the development of the adult second generation of floating population needs to be supported by policies.Urban development planning,public service provision and other policy arrangements should be coordinated on the basis of the resident population.

floating populationadult second generation of floating populationgroup characteristicsscale measurementfull life cycle

石智雷、周小强

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中南财经政法大学 人口与健康研究中心,湖北 武汉 430073

流动人口 成年流动人口二代 群体特征 规模测度 全生命周期

国家社会科学基金重大项目中南财经政法大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助

22&ZD196202311202

2024

人口与社会
南京人口管理干部学院

人口与社会

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.592
ISSN:1007-032X
年,卷(期):2024.40(5)
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