首页|基于中断时间序列模型的DIP改革对脑卒中患者住院费用的影响研究

基于中断时间序列模型的DIP改革对脑卒中患者住院费用的影响研究

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采用中断时间序列模型,分析按病种分值付费(diagnosis-intervention packet,DIP)改革前后脑卒中患者住院费用的变化趋势.结果显示,DIP改革前次均住院费用斜率呈持续上升,改革后下降,治疗费、诊断费和药费等分项费用斜率也相较于改革前显著降低,说明DIP改革有效遏制了脑卒中患者住院费用的不合理增长.DIP改革对不同类型患者的降费效应存在差异,对于职工医保患者的短期政策影响效应显著,而对居民医保患者的长期影响效应更为明显;手术患者的治疗费和药费以及非手术患者的诊断费和药费,受DIP结算影响的长短期降费效应均较显著.建议持续深化支付改革,合理设置激励机制,并结合临床路径管理,强化医疗服务质量监管.
Study on the effect of DIP payment reform on hospitalization expenses of stroke patients based on interrupted time series model
Using the interrupt time series model,this paper analyzes the trend change in hospitalization expenses of stroke patients before and after the reform of diagnosis-intervention packet(DIP)payment.The slope of average hospitalization expenses shows a continuous upward trend before the DIP payment reform,but declined after the reform.Similarly,the slopes of treatment fees,diagnostic fees,and drug costs also show a significant decrease compared to the time before the reform.The DIP payment reform has effectively reduced the average total hospitalization cost of the two types of medical insurance patients.The short-term policy effect is significant on employees'medical insurance patients,while the long-term policy effect on residents'medical insurance patients is more distinct.The long-term and short-term effects of DIP payment reform have resulted in significant reductions in the treatment and drug costs for surgical patients,along with the diagnosis and drug costs of non-surgical patients.DIP payment reform can effectively constrain the unreasonable increase of hospitalization expenses for stroke patients,while the impact on the expenses of different types of patients varies.This study suggests continuously deepening the payment reform,setting up a reasonable incentive mechanism,and strengthening the supervision of medical service quality in combination with clinical pathway management.

interrupted time seriesdiagnosis-intervention packetstrokehospitalization expenses

张明敏

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皖南医学院人文与管理学院,安徽 芜湖 241000

中断时间序列 DIP 脑卒中 住院费用

2024

南京医科大学学报(社会科学版)
南京医科大学

南京医科大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.938
ISSN:1671-0479
年,卷(期):2024.24(6)