Research on Development Form and Implementation Path of Regional Low-Carbon Power System Based on Multi-Agent Simulation
In order to clarify the development pattern of the power system and the transformation characteristics at different stages under the dual role of clean energy development planning and the market-oriented reform of the power industry,this paper constructs a medium-and-long-term low-carbon transformation model of the power system based on multi-agent simulation,which is embedded with multi-agent market behavior,time-series production simulation,system structure evolution,and low-carbon policy planning.Through multi-scenario setting and numerical simulation,the low-carbon development path of the regional power system is explored.Case analysis shows that before 2030,thermal power generation will be the main power source,and the addition of new energy installed capacity will be significantly driven by policies.At this stage,the power system needs to coordinate the balanced development of source and load resources to avoid overcapacity on the power side,which leads to a decrease in the number of hours of unit utilization.After 2030,with the retirement of thermal power and the expansion of wind and photovoltaic capacity and cost reduction,the participation of new energy in the market can promote the reduction of average electricity prices,reduce the number of hours of thermal power units,and promote the reduction of regional carbon emissions.At this stage,flexible resources such as energy storage plays a significant role in balancing the output fluctuations of wind and photovoltaic power,which need to be charged during the daytime to consume excess photovoltaic output and discharged during other periods to make up for the insufficient output of wind power.
万方数据
维普
