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吐鲁番市植被变化及其对气候变化的响应研究

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基于2000-2018年Landsat卫星遥感影像年最大NDVI数据和同期吐鲁番市夏季平均气温、年最高气温和降水资料,利用趋势分析、滑动平均、线性回归分析等统计学方法分析研究吐鲁番市植被覆盖率变化与气温和降水量的相关性.结果表明:吐鲁番市植被的空间分布有明显区域性,呈现出北部山区最高,其次是平原绿洲区,南部和东部植被稀少的特点.2000-2018年吐鲁番市年植被覆盖率以0.015%·(10a)-1的速率呈缓慢增加趋势,南部植被覆盖变化不大,托克逊西部山区和乡镇周边植被明显增加.植被覆盖率与夏季平均气温呈正相关,但不显著,与夏季降水量呈显著正相关,与年最高气温呈负相关.降水对植被覆盖率的影响大于气温,气候变暖湿对小区域生态环境影响有限,城镇和乡村周边以人工灌溉为主的区域植被覆盖率明显增加,吐鲁番市实行的退耕还林还草政策取得一定成效.
Vegetation Change and Its Response to Climate Change in Turpan
Based on the annual maximum Normalized Difference Vegetation Index data of Landsat satellite and the average temperature,extreme maximum temperature,and precipitation data of Turpan in summer from 2000 to 2018,the correlations between vegetation coverage and meteorological factors such as temperature and precipitation were analyzed by statistics methods,such as trend analysis,moving average and linear regression analysis.The results showed that the spatial distribution of vegetation was significant regional in Turpan,with the highest vegetation in the northern mountainous area,followed by plain oasis area,and the least vegetation in the southern and eastern regions of Turpan.The annual maximum vegetation coverage increased at a modest 0.015%·(10a)-1rate from 2020 to 2018,and the vegetation coverage in the southern of Turpan had little change,while the vegetation coverage in the western mountainous area and around the towns increased significantly.There was a indistinctively positive correlation between vegetation coverage and summer mean temperature,and a significant positive correlation between vegetation coverage and summer precipitation.At the same time,vegetation coverage was negatively correlated with annual maximum temperature.The influence of precipitation on vegetation coverage was greater than that of temperature,and the climate warming and humidification had limited impact on ecological environment in small district.The vegetation coverage of areas around towns and villages mainly under artificial irrigation had increased significantly.The policy of returning farmland to forest and grassland has made some effect in Turpan.

Normalized Difference Vegetation IndexPrecipitationTemperatureClimate change

张慧琴、杜东升、范泽、马红

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吐鲁番市气象局,新疆吐鲁番 838000

湖南省气象科学研究所,湖南长沙 410007

归一化植被指数 降水量 气温 气候变化

2024

内蒙古气象
内蒙古气象局 内蒙古气象气象学会

内蒙古气象

影响因子:0.206
ISSN:1005-8656
年,卷(期):2024.(2)