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基于小波变换的信阳市暴雨分布与变化特征分析

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利用1965-2020年信阳市9个国家气象站逐日降水资料,采用线性回归、M-K突变检验、小波分析等方法,对信阳市暴雨分布和变化特征进行了气候尺度分析,得出:(1)信阳市年平均暴雨量为296.9 mm,暴雨年平均频次为3.7 d,呈不明显波动式上升趋势及"南多北少"的纬向分布特征;(2)暴雨月平均量和暴雨月平均频次呈现出单峰分布,主要集中在夏季,春季暴雨多于秋季;(3)暴雨极值全部集中出现在6月下旬至7月上旬,呈现出自西向东"多-少-多-少"间隔式经向分布特点;(4)暴雨量突变年份出现在1966年,其后暴雨量明显增加,1981年和2009年是十年中暴雨量突然减少的年份,其前后五年暴雨量都很大;暴雨年平均频次突变年份出现在1966年和2008年;(5)年平均暴雨量和暴雨年平均频次周期较短,1980-1990年多高频率的4 a周期,2000年前后为2 a周期.
Analysis of Distribution and Variation Characteristics of Rainstorm in Xinyang Based on Wavelet Transform
Based on the daily precipitation data of 9 national meteorological observing stations in Xinyang from 1965 to 2020,the distribution and variation characteristics of rainstorm in Xinyang were analyzed by linear regression,MK test and wavelet analysis methods.The results showed that:(1)The average annual torrential rainfall and frequency in Xinyang were 296.9 mm and 3.7 d,respectively,showing an insignificant fluctuating upward trend and a distribution pattern of the more in the south and the less in the north.(2)The monthly mean torrential rainfall and frequency showed unimodal characteristics.Rainstorms mainly occurred in summer and occurred more in spring than in autumn.(3)All the extreme rainfall occurred from late June to early July,and showed a more-less-more-less distribution from west to east.(4)There was a sudden change in 1968,and then the torrential rainfall increased significantly.1981 and 2009 were the years in which the heavy rainfall suddenly decreased,and the annual rainfalls were large in the five years before and after these two years.The years of abrupt change in annual rainstorm frequency were 1966 and 2008.(5)The period of annual average torrential rainfall and rainstorm frequency was relatively short,with a period of 4 years in 1980-1990 and 2 years around 2000.

RainstormSpatiotemporal characteristicsStatistical analysisMK mutation testWavelet analysis

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信阳市茶叶气象重点实验室,河南 信阳 464000

信阳市气象局,河南 信阳 464000

暴雨 时空特征 统计分析 M-K突变检验 小波分析

中国气象局河南省农业气象保障与应用技术重点实验室项目

KF202450

2024

内蒙古气象
内蒙古气象局 内蒙古气象气象学会

内蒙古气象

影响因子:0.206
ISSN:1005-8656
年,卷(期):2024.(3)