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电子商务、对外贸易与民族地区共同富裕

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随着信息技术的发展,电子商务逐渐成为中国贸易经济发展的重要补充部分,在促进共同富裕过程中发挥重要作用.为考察电子商务与对外贸易的双向驱动发展能否促进西部地区的共同富裕,首先从推动力和拉动力两个维度梳理两者之间的作用机理,其次选取电子商务贸易额和进出口贸易总额两个指标,并通过 PVAR模型与 SWOT-AHP模型进行实证分析.研究结果表明:民族地区的电子商务发展提高 1 个单位,对外贸易平均增长超 10%,但对外贸易的增长在短时间内并不能实现电子商务的发展,两者存在单向因果关系.为促进两者之间的双向驱动发展,从政策扶持、产业集聚、基础设施、区位优势四个方面提出的"最大限度发展(SO)"的战略方案是未来促进民族地区加快构建高质量经济体系,促进民族地区共同富裕的关键因素.
E-commerce,Foreign Trade and Common Prosperity in Ethnic Areas
With the advancement of information technology,e-commerce has gradually become an important supplement to China's trade and economic development and plays a significant role in boosting common prosperity.To investigate whether the two-way driving development between e-commerce and foreign trade can promote the common prosperity in the western region of China,this paper first probes into the mechanism between them from the two dimensions of driving force and pulling force and then selects two indicators of e-commerce trade volume and total import and export trade volume to make an empirical analysis using the PVAR model and SWOT-AHP model.The results show that the average growth of foreign trade exceeds 10%when the development of e-commerce in ethnic areas is increased by one unit.However,the growth of foreign trade cannot achieve the development of e-commerce in a short time,namely that there is a one-way causality between them.For the sake of their two-way driving development,the strategic plan of"maximizing development(SO)"put forward from four aspects of policy support,industrial agglomeration,infrastructure,and location advantage is the key factor to accelerate the construction of a high-quality economic system and promote common prosperity in ethnic areas in the future.

e-commerceforeign tradePVAR modelSWOT-AHP modelethnic areas

白科、王营营

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中央民族大学 经济学院,北京 100081

喀什大学 数学与统计学院,新疆 喀什 844000

电子商务 对外贸易 PVAR模型 SWOT-AHP模型 民族地区

2025

内蒙古师范大学学报(自然科学汉文版)
内蒙古师范大学

内蒙古师范大学学报(自然科学汉文版)

影响因子:0.291
ISSN:1001-8735
年,卷(期):2025.54(1)