首页|LSM、PNI、Mayo评分对PBC相关肝硬化的预测价值

LSM、PNI、Mayo评分对PBC相关肝硬化的预测价值

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目的:探讨肝脏弹性硬度(liver stiffness measurements,LSM)、预后营养指数(prognostic nutritional index,PNI)、Mayo评分在原发性胆汁性胆管炎(primary biliary cholangitis,PBC)相关肝硬化中的预测价值.方法:收集 2019 年 1月—2022 年 8 月在南通大学附属南通第三医院住院诊治的 239 例PBC患者的临床资料,其中胆管炎组 123 例,肝硬化组 116 例.计算PNI、Mayo评分,采用多因素Logistic回归模型分析影响PBC患者病情进展的危险因素,ROC曲线评估其预测效能.结果:肝硬化组患者的碱性磷酸酶(alkaline phosphatase,ALP)、总胆汁酸(total bile acid,TBA)、肌酐(creati-nine,Cr)、IgM、抗gp210 抗体阳性率、LSM、Mayo 评分均高于胆管炎组(均P<0.05);肝硬化组的PNI 低于胆管炎组(P<0.05).多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,LSM、IgM、抗gp210 抗体、PNI、Mayo评分是影响PBC患者肝硬化进程的独立危险因素(P<0.05).Pearson相关性分析结果显示,LSM与Mayo评分呈正相关(r=0.224,P<0.001),PNI与Mayo评分呈负相关(r=-0.759,P<0.001).LSM、PNI、Mayo评分的AUC分别为 0.776、0.839、0.818,三者联合预测模型的AUC为 0.914.结论:LSM、PNI、Mayo评分对PBC相关肝硬化有较好的预测价值,三者联合预测价值更高.
The predictive value of LSM,PNI and Mayo scores in PBC-related liver cirrhosis
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of liver stiffness measurements(LSM),prognostic nutritional index(PNI),and Mayo score in primary biliary cholangitis(PBC)-related liver cirrhosis.Methods:The clinical data of 239 patients with PBC who were treated in Affiliated Nantong Third Hospital of Nantong University from January 2019 to August 2022 were collected,including 123 cases in the cholangitis group and 116 cases in the cirrhosis group.PNI and Mayo score were calculated.Multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors affecting the disease progression of PBC patients,and the ROC curve was used to evaluate its predictive performance.Results:Alkaline phosphatase(ALP),total bile acid(TBA),creatinine(Cr),IgM,the positive rate of anti-gp210 antibody,LSM,and Mayo scores in the group of liver cirrhosis in PBC patients were higher than those in the cholangitis group(all P<0.05);the PNI in the liver cirrhosis group was lower than that in the cholangitis group(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that LSM,IgM,anti-gp210,PNI,and Mayo score were independent risk factors affecting the progression of liver cirrhosis in PBC patients(P<0.05).The results of Pearson correlation analysis showed that LSM was positively correlated with Mayo score(r=0.224,P<0.001),and PNI was negatively correlated with Mayo score(r=-0.759,P<0.001).The AUC of LSM,PNI,and Mayo score were 0.776,0.839,and 0.818,respectively.And the AUC of the combined prediction model was 0.914.Conclusion:LSM,PNI,and Mayo score have good predictive value for PBC-related liver cirrhosis,and the combination of LSM,PNI,and Mayo score has higher predictive value.

primary biliary cholangitisliver cirrhosisliver stiffness measurementsprognostic nutritional indexMayo score

张晓芳、徐海峰、章颖

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南通大学附属南通第三医院肝病科,江苏 226006

原发性胆汁性胆管炎 肝硬化 肝脏弹性硬度 预后营养指数 Mayo评分

南通市科技计划

MSZ20099

2024

南通大学学报(医学版)
南通大学

南通大学学报(医学版)

影响因子:0.637
ISSN:1674-7887
年,卷(期):2024.44(2)