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数字普惠金融发展的时空特征及其动力机制研究

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本文首先运用2011-2020年北京大学数字普惠金融指数,探究中国数字普惠金融发展的时空特征,其次采用Dagum基尼系数方法分解东中西及八大城市群数字普惠金融发展的区域差异,并在此基础上进行了收敛性检验,最后采用Weaver-Thomas模型对各省份的数字普惠金融发展核心动力机制进行探讨.研究发现,(1)数字普惠金融发展的总体、区域内与区域间差异变化趋势基本一致,呈"陡降—缓降—缓升"的趋势,各地区以东中西这一方式进行区分的差异及其变化幅度皆明显大于以城市群进行区域划分的方式,区域间差异是数字普惠金融发展差异的主要来源.(2)数字普惠金融发展呈现出典型的σ收敛和β收敛特征,空间外溢效应明显内嵌于中国数字普惠金融的发展过程当中,使其发展日渐趋同;而就收敛速度而言,西部最快,中部次之,东部最慢,与当前数字普惠金融发展水平呈负相关关系,地区间的数字鸿沟缩小趋势明显.(3)动力机制研究发现,我国省域数字普惠金融发展存在4种动力类型,且半数以上地区的驱动动力保持着较高稳定性;东部地区以创新驱动动力为主,中部地区以内源释放动力为主,西部地区则以市场应用动力为主.
Research on the Spatial-temporal Features and Dynamic Mechanism of Digital Inclusive Finance Development
This paper first uses the 2011-2020 Peking University Digital Inclusive Finance Index to explore spatial-temporal features of digital inclusive finance development in China,followed by using the Dagum Gini coefficient method to decompose the regional differences in digital inclusive finance de-velopment in the east,west and eight urban clusters,and conducts convergence tests on this basis.Finally,the Weaver-Thomas model is used to explore the core dynamic mechanism of digital in-clusive finance development in each province.Conclusions are as follows:(1)The overall,intra-regional and inter-regional differences in digital inclusive financial development are basically the same,with a trend of"steep decline-slow decline-slow rise".The differences and the magnitude of changes in each region differentiated by East-West are significantly larger than those differentiated by urban clusters.Regional differences are the main source of differences in the development of digital inclusive finance.(2)The development of digital inclusive finance shows typical σ-convergence and β-conver-gence characteristics,and the spatial spillover effect is obviously embedded in the development process of digital inclusive finance in China,making its development increasingly homogeneous.In terms of the speed of convergence,the western vegion is the fastest,then follows the central region,and the eastern region is the slowest,the speed is negatively correlated with the current level of digital inclusive finance development,the digital divide between regions is narrowing.(3)The study on the dynamic mechanism finds that there are four types of driving forces for the development of digital inclusive finance in China's provincial areas,and the driving forces in more than half of the regions maintain a high stability.The eastern region is mainly driven by innovation type,the central region is mainly driven by endogenous re-lease type,and the western region is mainly driven by market application type.

Digital inclusive financeSpatial-temporal featuresDynamic mechanismHigh-quality development

王小华、贺文瑾

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西南大学经济管理学院,重庆,400715

数字普惠金融 时空特征 动力机制 高质量发展

国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金一般项目

22&ZD12321ZDA06221BJY042

2024

农业经济问题
中国农业经济学会 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所

农业经济问题

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.177
ISSN:1000-6389
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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