首页|我国农民农村共同富裕水平的区域差异和时空演进特征研究

我国农民农村共同富裕水平的区域差异和时空演进特征研究

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农民农村共同富裕作为一项紧迫而艰巨的任务,科学合理的内涵阐释、水平测度与特征分析对进程推动至关重要.本文基于2013-2021年30个省份数据,在明确农民农村共同富裕基本内涵的基础上,创新性地构建集"多维富裕—共同协调—提质增效—生态宜居—和谐和睦—民生福祉"为一体的农民农村共同富裕评价指标体系,运用熵值法、Dagum基尼系数、障碍度模型、Kernel密度估计、莫兰指数、马尔可夫模型对我国农民农村共同富裕水平的区域差异和时空演进特征进行分析.研究发现,(1)样本期内我国农民农村共同富裕水平呈上升态势,发展水平呈现东部>东北>中部>西部的分布格局,提升速度呈现西部>东北>中部>东部的追赶之势,各维度水平均得到提高.(2)样本期内总体区域差异呈缩小态势,东部、中部、西部、东北部间差异是造成区域差异的关键.其中,和谐和睦维度区域差异值相对较大,且与多维富裕维度的区域差异呈扩大趋势;进一步分析,农产品外贸依存度、农产品质量是现阶段主要障碍因素.(3)我国总体和四大区域内省域发展水平的绝对差异扩大,东中西部出现不同程度的极化特征.省域农民农村共同富裕水平向上转移的概率高于向下转移,存在显著的空间集聚特征与溢出效应.基于此,提出扎实推动农民农村共同富裕的建议.本文为农民农村共同富裕评价指标体系构建提供新的视角,也为推动农业农村现代化、提高农民生活水平和品质提供参考.
Research on the Regional Differences and Spatial-temporal Evolution Characteristics of Common Prosperity Level of Farmers and Rural Areas in China
Common prosperity of farmers and rural areas,as an urgent and arduous task,scientific and reasonable interpretation of connotation,level measurement and feature analysis are crucial to pro-moting the process.Based on the data of 30 provinces from 2013 to 2021,and on the basis of clarifying the basic connotation of common prosperity of farmers and rural areas,this paper innovatively constructs an evaluation index system of common prosperity of farmers and rural areas that integrates"multi-di-mensional prosperity—common coordination—quality and efficiency enhancement—ecological liva-bility—harmony and peace—people's welfare".Using entropy method,Dagum Gini coefficient,ob-stacle degree model,Kernel density estimation,Moran's I and Markov model,the paper analyzes regional differences and spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of common prosperity level of farmers and rural areas in China.The study finds:(1)Within the sample period,the level of Common prosperity of farmers and rural areas in China is on the rise,the development level presents a distribution pattern of East>Northeast>Central>West,and the speed of improvement shows a trend of catching up with West>Northeast>Central>East.The levels of all dimensions have been improved.(2)During the sample period,overall regional differences shows a decreasing trend,with the differences between the eastern,central,western,northeastern regions being the key to regional differences.Among them,regional differ-ences in the dimension of harmony and peace are relatively large,regional differences in the dimension of multidimensional prosperity and harmony and peace shows an expanding trend.Further analysis shows that the dependence on foreign trade of agricultural products and agricultural products quality are the main obstacles at present.(3)The absolute difference in the development level of provinces in over-all and four major regions has expanded,different degrees of polarization characteristics appear in the eastern,central and western regions.The common prosperity level of provincial farmers and rural areas is more likely to shift upwards than downwards,and there are significant spatial clustering characteristics and spillover effects.The paper puts forward suggestions to solidly promote the common prosperity of farmers and rural areas.This paper provides a new perspective for the construction of an e-valuation index system of common prosperity of farmers and rural areas,and also provides a reference for promoting agricultural and rural modernization and improving farmers'living standards and quality.

Common prosperity of farmers and rural areasIndex systemLevel measurementRe-gional differencesSpatal-temporal evolution

马晓君、王梦宇、于渊博、范祎洁

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东北财经大学统计学院,大连,116025

东北财经大学工商管理学院,大连,116025

农民农村共同富裕 指标体系 水平测度 区域差异 时空演进

国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金重大项目中国社会科学院重大项目

22&ZD15921&ZD148

2024

农业经济问题
中国农业经济学会 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所

农业经济问题

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.177
ISSN:1000-6389
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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