首页|"保险+期货"服务生猪养殖市场风险管理的定价机制与效应分析

"保险+期货"服务生猪养殖市场风险管理的定价机制与效应分析

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本文立足养殖成本与市场价格双重视角,探讨"保险+期货"服务中国生猪养殖市场风险管理的市场条件、方案设计与定价机制,并基于"价格保险"与"再保险"功能定位,全面探析"保险+期货"风险管理效应.研究发现:(1)波动率和保险周期是"保险+期货"费率决定的主要变量,其中生猪项目费率仅在2个月周期内低于6%;(2)短周期、多批次承保更能适应畜牧养殖循环滚动生产的特点,但其风险转移效率和"再保险"功能发挥受到配套场内期权缺位、手续费与流动性等调仓成本的制约.最后,提出以持续做好市场培育、强化业务风险控制、健全产品供给体系为基础推动"保险+期货"服务生猪养殖业高质量发展.
Pricing Mechanism and Effect Evaluation of "Insurance+Futures" in Managing Hog Breeding Market Risks
Based on the dual perspectives of breeding costs and market prices,this paper firstly ex-plores the market conditions,scheme design and pricing mechanism of"insurance+futures"serving in China's risk management of hog breeding market.Risk management effects are further analyzed in view of the dual functional positioning of"price insurance"and"reinsurance".The results suggest that vola-tility and insurance period are the crucial variables in determining the premium rates of"insurance+futures",with the premium rate for hog insurance remaining below 6%only within a 2-month period.Moreover,short-term and multi-batch underwriting adapts effectively to the characteristics of the circular rolling production of livestock breeding,but their risk transfer efficiency and"reinsurance"function are constrained by the absence of exchange-traded options,transaction fees,liquidity costs,etc.Finally,we propose continuously fostering market development,strengthening business risk control,and establishing a sound product supply system to promote the advancement of"insurance+futures"in serving high-quality development of the hog breeding industry.

Hog market risksInsurance+FuturesBreeding costsRisk management effects

徐媛媛、张硕、崔小年、齐皓天

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南京林业大学经济管理学院,南京,210037

中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京,100872

郑州商品交易所,郑州,450004

西南大学经济管理学院,重庆,400715

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生猪市场风险 保险+期货 养殖成本 风险管理效应

国家社会科学基金青年项目国家自然科学基金面上项目

18CJY03672173052

2024

农业经济问题
中国农业经济学会 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所

农业经济问题

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.177
ISSN:1000-6389
年,卷(期):2024.(8)
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