首页|北约印太转向:战略逻辑演进、新动向与前景

北约印太转向:战略逻辑演进、新动向与前景

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近年来,在中美战略竞争深化和俄乌冲突两大战略背景下,在美国压力下,北约积极推动印太转向.北约不仅视中国为"系统性挑战",强调"印太地区对北约重要"和欧亚安全不可分割,还高度"关切"印太海洋安全,加强与日本、韩国、澳大利亚和新西兰"印太四国"机制化联系,推进防务及新兴科技领域务实合作.这一基于"一体化威慑"战略逻辑的北约印太转向,与 20世纪 90 年代及"9·11"事件后基于"合作安全"的战略逻辑大异其趣,表现出新形势下北约印太转向的新动向与新特点.展望未来,受制于北约核心战略利益、军事能力、北约内部分歧及美国国内政治变化等诸多因素限制,北约印太转向始终存在"天花板",也具有较大不确定性.
NATO Indo-Pacific Shift:Strategic Logic and Paradox
In recent years,pushed by the United States,NATO has embarked on Indo-Pacific tilt,against the back-drop of deepening China-US strategic competition and Russia-Ukraine war.NATO not only views China as"systemic chal-lenge",claiming"the Indo-Pacific is important to NATO"and the security development in Indo-Pacific is indivisible to Europe-Atlantic,but also has taken a series of steps to enhance the defense and emerging technology cooperation with its four partner countries in the Indo-Pacific.This"Integrated Deterrence"strategic logic is quite different from the"coopera-tive security"logic behind the NATO's look to the Asia-Pacific in the 1990s and in the aftermath of"911"terrorist attack.Looking forward,NATO's Indo-Pacific Shift will continue in some aspects,but its defense cooperation with Indo-Pacific countries and involvement in Indo-Pacific security affairs will have its ceiling,given the NATO core tasks and area of responsibility,the inner differences,and above all the U.S.domestic political split and changes.

NATONATO Indo-Pacific shiftIndo-Pacific Four Partner CountriesChina-US relations

韦宗友、汤杰

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复旦大学 美国研究中心,上海 200433

复旦大学 国际关系与公共事务学院,上海 200433

北约 北约印太转向 印太四国 中美关系

国家社科基金重大研究专项教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目中国海洋发展基金会项目

22VHQ0022JJD810004CODF-AOC202308

2024

南洋问题研究
厦门大学南洋研究院

南洋问题研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.443
ISSN:1003-9856
年,卷(期):2024.(3)