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投资者情绪、有限套利与股票收益率

Investor Sentiment,Limited Arbitrage and Stock Returns

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本文从行为金融学的角度出发,以2010-2022 年间我国上证A股为研究样本,采用单因素投资组合分析、双因素投资组合分析和固定效应模型等实证方法研究投资者情绪、有限套利对股票收益率的影响及其内在相互作用机制.研究发现:投资者情绪和有限套利与股票收益率之间具有显著的正相关关系,这种关系在控制公司规模、资产负债率、资产收益率、amihud非流动性指标和交易量后仍稳健存在.进一步发现,投资者情绪与有限套利之间存在双向加剧效应:投资者情绪加剧有限套利对股票收益率的影响,有限套利加剧投资者情绪对股票收益率的影响,并且投资者情绪和有限套利程度的高低造成的加剧效应也有所不同,具体表现为在投资者情绪和有限套利程度较高的样本公司中这种加剧效应更为明显.
This paper examines the impact of investor sentiment and limited arbitrage on stock returns from a behavioral finance perspective,using the Shanghai A-share market as a research sample for the period 2010-2022.Empirical methods,including single-factor portfolio analysis,dual-factor portfolio analysis,and fixed effects models,are employed to investigate the relationships and underlying interaction mecha-nisms between these factors and stock returns.The study finds a significant positive correlation between in-vestor sentiment,limited arbitrage,and stock returns,which remains robust even after controlling of firm size,debt-to-assets ratio,return on assets,AMIHUD illiquidity measure,and trading volume.Further a-nalysis reveals a bidirectional exacerbation effect between investor sentiment and limited arbitrage:investor sentiment exacerbates the impact of limited arbitrage on stock returns,and limited arbitrage exacerbates the impact of investor sentiment on stock returns.The magnitude of this exacerbation effect varies,with more pronounced effects observed in companies with higher levels of investor sentiment and limited arbitrage.

investor sentimentlimited arbitragestock returnsinvestment portfoliotwo-way exacerba-tion effect

邢瑞、何朝林

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安徽工程大学 数理与金融学院,安徽 芜湖 241000

投资者情绪 有限套利 股票收益率 投资组合 双向加剧效应

2025

攀枝花学院学报
攀枝花学院

攀枝花学院学报

影响因子:0.195
ISSN:1672-0563
年,卷(期):2025.42(1)