首页|中国共同富裕水平、空间分异、动态演进规律及收敛趋势——278个地级市数据的实证检验

中国共同富裕水平、空间分异、动态演进规律及收敛趋势——278个地级市数据的实证检验

扫码查看
构建我国共同富裕评价体系,以278个地级市2011-2020年数据为样本,采用熵权法、Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计、马尔科夫链分析和收敛模型,探究我国共同富裕水平、空间分异、动态演进规律及收敛趋势.研究发现:第一,我国各地级市共同富裕水平均逐年上升,但东部地区共同富裕水平大幅领先中、西部,长三角共同富裕水平大幅领先其他经济圈,一线城市共同富裕水平大幅领先其他规模等级城市.第二,组间差异是我国共同富裕水平差异的主要来源,但三大地理经济分区和五大经济圈的组内差异也不容忽视.第三,无论在全国整体层面还是在不同地理经济分区、不同规模等级城市方面,共同富裕水平均缓慢攀升,且相对、绝对差距均逐步缩小,但动态演进中的路径依赖、降级风险、部分区域和规模等级城市极化发展等问题也突出.第四,全国整体、各分区和规模等级城市共同富裕水平均支持收敛,共同富裕水平落后城市对领先城市形成追赶态势,我国各地共同富裕水平最终将趋于一致.立足上述分析,我国开展共同富裕工作应从提升城市共同富裕水平和增进城市间共同富裕均衡程度两方面共同发力.
Level,spatial differentiation,dynamic evolution and convergence trend of common prosperity in China——an empirical test on the data of 278 prefecture-level cities
This study constructs an evaluation system for common prosperity using data from 278 prefecture-level cities,employing methods of Entropy Weight Method,Dagum's Gini Coefficient,Kernel Density Estimation,Markov Chain Analysis and Convergence Model.The aim is to systematically explore the level of China's common prosperity,its spatial differentiation,and dynamic evolution law and convergence trend.The conclusions are as follows:First,although the level of common prosperity in China's prefecture-level cities has been increasing year by year,there is a significant disparity.The eastern region is notably ahead of the central and western regions,with the Yangtze River Delta significantly outpacing other economic regions.Additionally,first-tier cities are far ahead of cities at other scales.Second,inter-group differences are the main source of disparities in common prosperity across China.However,intra-group differences within the three major geographical economic zones and the five major economic circles are also significant.Third,in terms of the evolution of common prosperity,the overall distribution and scale levels across different regions of China are steadily improving,with both relative and absolute gaps gradually narrowing.However,issues such as path dependence,downgrade risks,and regional polarization remain prominent in the evolution process.Finally,regarding convergence trends,cities across the country-both within various regions and at different scale levels-are generally converging towards common prosperity,all supporting convergence.Underdeveloped cities are catching up with leading cities,and the level of common prosperity among cities in China is expected to eventually converge.Based on the above analysis,China should improve both the level of urban common prosperity and enhance the balance of urban common prosperity in order to advance the goal of common prosperity.

common prosperitydevelopment levelspatial differentiationdynamic evolutionconvergence trend

潘明明、张杰、刘子祥

展开 >

安徽工程大学 经济与管理学院,安徽 芜湖 241000

共同富裕 发展水平 空间分异 动态演进 收敛趋势

2024

青岛科技大学学报(社会科学版)
青岛科技大学

青岛科技大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.366
ISSN:1671-8372
年,卷(期):2024.40(4)