长江经济带农业经济韧性的时空分布及组态影响因素——基于TOE框架的fs-QCA分析
Spatial-Temporal Distribution and Configuration Influencing Factors of Agricultural Economic Resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt——Analysis of fs-QCA Based on the TOE FrameWork
张俊 1尤赟 1冯越珺1
作者信息
- 1. 安徽财经大学 经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030
- 折叠
摘要
新发展格局下,增强农业经济韧性是助力农业强国建设的时代需求.从 3 个维度构建农业经济韧性评价体系,运用熵值法测算 2012-2021 长江经济带农业经济韧性.借助H-P滤波分析法、标准差椭圆模型、局域热点分析描绘农业经济韧性的时空演化格局.基于组态视角,采用fsQCA并依托TOE理论框架,厘清长江经济带农业经济韧性的多元提升路径.结果发现:长江经济带农业经济韧性共经历 2 轮周期波动,周期波动态势有所强化.长江经济带农业经济韧性重心向东南方向移动,发展日益均衡化.热点区和次热点区空间集聚范围主要分布于长三角地区.组态视角下,存在 4 种组态路径实现农业经济韧性的提升,分别是融智拉动型、要素提质型、技术主导产业结构支持型和全面优化型.
Abstract
Under the new development pattern,enhancing the resilience of the agricultural economy is the demand of the times to help build a strong agricultural country.The evaluation system of agricultural economy resilience was constructed from three dimen sions,and the entropy method was used to calculate the resilience of agricultural economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt in 2012-2021.With the help of H-P analysis of filter of agricultural econo my,standard deviation elliptic model and local hotspot analysis,based on the perspective of configuration,fsQCA and TOE theoretical framework are adopted to clarify the multiple improvement path of agricultural economic resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.The results show that the resilience of the agricultural economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has experienced two rounds of cyclical fluctuations,and the cyclical fluctuation trend has been strengthened.The resilience center of agricultural economy in the Yangtze River Eco nomic Belt moves to the southeast,and its development is increasingly balanced.The spatial agglomeration range of hotspots and sub-hotspots is mainly distributed in the Yangtze River Delta region.From the perspective of configuration,there are four kinds of configuration paths to improve the resilience of agricultural economy,namely,intelligence-driven,factor quality improvement,technology-led industrial structure support and comprehensive optimization.
关键词
农业经济韧性/时空分布/TOE框架/fsQCA/组态视角Key words
agricultural economy resilience/spatial and temporal distribution/TOE Framework/fsQCA/configuration perspective引用本文复制引用
基金项目
安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目(AHSKY2022D060)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据