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利用竞争风险模型分析难治性心力衰竭并发恶性室性心律失常的影响因素

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目的 利用竞争风险模型分析难治性心力衰竭并发恶性室性心律失常的影响因素.方法 回顾性分析 2019 年 1 月—2023 年 5 月在本院治疗的 573 例RHF患者的临床资料,随访统计RHF患者恶性室性心律失常(目标事件)发生率、恶性室性心律失常前死亡率(竞争事件)、既没有发生恶性室性心律失常也没有死亡发生率(删失事件),使用Fine-Gray竞争风险模型分析RHF并发恶性室性心律失常的影响因素.结果 573 例RHF患者中位随访时间 7(0.5~37)个月,其中恶性室性心律失常发生率为58.99%,竞争事件发生率为 12.39%,删失事件发生率为 28.62%.不同结局事件间年龄、糖尿病史、高血压史、纽约心脏病协会(NYHA)分级、收缩压、左心室射血分数(LVEF)、左心室舒张末期内径(LVEDD)、N末端脑钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)、血钾比较,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05).采用Fine-Gray竞争风险模型进行单因素分析得出,糖尿病史、高血压史、LVEF、LVEDD、NT-proBNP、血钾是RHF并发恶性室性心律失常的影响因素(P<0.05),进一步进行多因素分析得出高血压史、LVEF、LVEDD、NT-proBNP、血钾是RHF并发恶性室性心律失常的独立影响因素(P<0.05).结论 竞争风险模型分析下,高血压史、LVEF、LVEDD、NT-proBNP、血钾是RHF并发恶性室性心律失常的独立影响因素.
Influencing factors analysis of malignant ventricular arrhythmias in refractory heart failure using a competitive risk model
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of refractory heart failure(RHF)complicated with malignant ventricular arrhythmias using a competitive risk model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 573 patients with RHF who were treated in our hospital from January 2019 to May 2023.The incidence rates of malignant ventricular arrhythmias(target event),mortality before malignant ventricular arrhythmias(competitive event),and neither malignant ventricular arrhythmias nor mortality(deleted event)were followed up and statistically analyzed.The Fine-Gray competitive risk model was used to analyze the influencing factors of malignant ventricular arrhythmias in RHF patients.Results The median follow-up time for the 573 RHF patients was 7(0.5~37)months.The incidence rate of malignant ventricular arrhythmias was 58.99%,the incidence rate of competitive events was 12.39%,and the incidence of deleted events was 28.62%.There were statistically significant differences in age,history of diabetes,history of hypertension,New York Heart Association(NYHA)classification,systolic blood pressure,left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),left ventricular end diastolic diameter(LVEDD),N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP),and blood potassium among different outcome events(P<0.05).Single-factor analysis using the Fine-Gray competitive risk model showed that the history of diabetes,hypertension,LVEF,LVEDD,NT-proBNP,and blood potassium were risk factors for malignant ventricular arrhythmias in RHF(P<0.05).Further multivariate analysis revealed that hypertension,LVEF,LVEDD,NT-proBNP,and blood potassium were independent influencing factors of malignant ventricular arrhythmias in RHF(P<0.05).Conclusions Under the analysis of the competitive risk model,hypertension,LVEF,LVEDD,NT-proBNP,and blood potassium are all independent influencing factors of malignant ventricular arrhythmias in RHF.

Refractory heart failureVentricular arrhythmiaInfluencing factorsCompetitive risk model

李林芳、赵少岩

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450003 河南郑州,郑州市第九人民医院 综合二病区

难治性心力衰竭 室性心律失常 影响因素 竞争风险模型

2025

齐齐哈尔医学院学报
齐齐哈尔医学院

齐齐哈尔医学院学报

影响因子:0.854
ISSN:1002-1256
年,卷(期):2025.46(2)