首页|脑卒中患者康复锻炼依从性的影响因素分析及列线图预测模型构建

脑卒中患者康复锻炼依从性的影响因素分析及列线图预测模型构建

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目的 探讨分析脑卒中患者康复锻炼依从性的影响因素并构建列线图预测模型.方法 回顾性分析 2021 年 2 月—2023 年 12 月本院康复科收治的进行康复锻炼的 233 例脑卒中患者的临床资料,根据康复锻炼依从性分为依从性较好组(依从率≥75%,160 例)及依从性较差组(依从率<75%,73 例)两组.分析相关指标对脑卒中患者康复锻炼依从性较差的预测价值.分析影响脑卒中患者康复锻炼依从性较差的相关因素.构建脑卒中患者康复锻炼依从性的列线图预测模型,并通过校正曲线及决策曲线进行验证与评估.结果 相较于依从性较差组,依从性较好组患者文化程度(高)、疾病认知程度(高)、康复护理指导占比明显增加,SF-HBMS评分、SSRS评分明显升高,HAMD评分明显下降(P<0.05).多因素Logistic回归分析,文化程度(低)、疾病认知程度(低)、康复护理指导(否)、低SF-HBMS评分、低SSRS评分、高HAMD评分均为康复锻炼依从性较差的独立危险因素(P<0.05).经ROC曲线分析,SF-HBMS评分、SSRS评分、HAMD评分曲线下面积(AUC)分别为 0.642、0.708、0.625,且最佳截断值分别为>61 分、>33 分、≤16 分,对预测康复锻炼依从性均具有一定价值(P<0.05).基于独立影响因素建立脑卒中患者康复锻炼依从性较差的列线图预测模型,C-index为 0.863(95%CI:0.810~915),经拟合优度检验卡方值为 3.904,P=0.866>0.05,预测值与观测值无明显差异,表示模型拟合度较高;当预测阈值>0.18 时列线图风险预测模型临床净收益均高于独立预测因子.结论 基于文化程度、疾病认知程度、康复护理指导、SF-HBMS评分、SSRS评分、HAMD评分等脑卒中康复锻炼依从性的影响因素建列线图预测模型,准确度较高,且具有较高的预测价值.
Analysis of influencing factors on compliance of rehabilitation exercise in stroke patients and construction of nomogram prediction model
Objective To explore and analyze the influencing factors of rehabilitation exercise compliance in stroke patients and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 233 stroke patients admitted to the rehabilitation department of our hospital from February 2021 to December 2023 for rehabilitation exercise.Based on rehabilitation exercise compliance,160 cases were divided into a good compliance group(compliance rate≥75%)and 73 cases into a poor compliance group(compliance rate<75%).The predictive value of related indices for poor compliance with rehabilitation exercise in stroke patients was analyzed.Factors affecting poor compliance with rehabilitation exercise in stroke patients were explored.A nomogram prediction model for rehabilitation exercise compliance in stroke patients was established and verified and evaluated using calibration and decision curves.Results Compared with the poor compliance group,the good compliance group had a significantly increased proportion of patients with higher literacy,higher disease cognition,and more rehabilitation nursing guidance.SF-HBMS scores and SSRS scores were significantly higher,while HAMD scores were significantly lower(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis identified low education level,low disease cognition level,lack of rehabilitation nursing guidance,low SF-HBMS scores,low SSRS scores,and high HAMD scores as independent risk factors for poor compliance with rehabilitation exercise(P<0.05).ROC curve analysis showed AUCs of 0.642,0.708,and 0.625 for SF-HBMS scores,SSRS scores,and HAMD scores,respectively,with optimal cutoff values of>61 points,>33 points,and≤16 points,respectively,all of which had significant value in predicting rehabilitation exercise compliance(P<0.05).A nomogram prediction model for poor compliance with rehabilitation exercise in stroke patients was established based on independent influencing factors.The C-index was 0.863(95%CI:0.810~0.915),and the chi-square value of the goodness of fit test was 3.904,P=0.866>0.05.There was no significant difference between the predicted and observed values,indicating a high model fit.When the prediction threshold was>0.18,the clinical net benefit of the nomogram risk prediction model was higher than that of the independent predictor.Conclusions The nomogram prediction model,based on factors affecting compliance with stroke rehabilitation exercise such as education level,disease cognition level,rehabilitation nursing guidance,SF-HBMS scores,SSRS scores,and HAMD scores,is highly accurate and has high predictive value.

StrokeCompliance with rehabilitation exerciseInfluencing factorsNomogram type

张素华、王娜、章鹏

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337000 江西萍乡,萍乡矿业集团有限责任公司总医院康复科

脑卒中 康复锻炼依从性 影响因素 列线图型

2025

齐齐哈尔医学院学报
齐齐哈尔医学院

齐齐哈尔医学院学报

影响因子:0.854
ISSN:1002-1256
年,卷(期):2025.46(2)