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盛夏西太平洋副热带高压北跳异常特征及气候影响分析

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利用1979-2021年ERA5再分析资料,分析了盛夏西太平洋副热带高压(简称西太副高)北跳异常特征,研究了不同传播方向的热带大气低频信号对盛夏西太副高北跳异常的可能影响,探讨了西太副高北跳异常对我国东部地区夏季气候的影响。结果表明:盛夏期间,在西太副高北跳偏早年的北跳之前三候里,海洋性大陆地区和西太平洋低纬度地区的OLR场表现为异常的低频对流抑制逐渐北传和西北传,伴随着对流层低频非绝热加热负异常传播到副热带地区,从而在副热带到中纬度西北太平洋呈现出低频正位势高度异常,有利于盛夏期间西太副高北跳。在盛夏西太副高北跳偏晚年的北跳之前三候里,副热带西太平洋OLR为对流抑制异常的逐候增强并西北传,对应的对流层非绝热加热负异常也逐渐西北传,并激发出北太平洋上空的低频波列,该低频波列中的中纬度异常反气旋西移,有利于西太副高北跳。在盛夏西太副高北跳偏早年,我国长江以北地区更易出现极端高温,东北、黄淮和江南地区更易发生持续性强降水;在偏晚年,我国西南和江南地区更易出现极端高温,长江中下游地区更易出现强度更强的持续性强降水事件。
Characteristics of the anomalous northward jump of the western Pacific subtropical high during midsummer and its climate impact
Based on the ERA5 reanalysis data from 1979 to 2021,this study investigated the characteristics of the anomalous northward jump of the Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH)during midsummer and analyzed the influence of the tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation(ISO)originating from various sources on the anomaly.The climatic effects of the anomalous WPSH northward jump during summertime over eastern China were also discussed.When the northward jump occurs earlier than normal,during the three leading pentads before the northward jump,there is a notable suppression of low-frequency convection over the Maritime Continent and tropical western Pacific,which gradually propagates northward and northwestward before the northward jump.In the meantime,a negative low-frequency diabatic heating anomaly propagates to the subtropics.The above factors result in positive geopotential height anomalies over the mid-latitude western Pacific,favoring the WPSH northward jump during midsummer.When the northward jump occurs later than normal,during the three leading pentads before the northward jump,there is an intensified suppression of low-frequency convection over the subtropical western Pacific,and it propagates northwestward.The negative diabatic heating anomaly over.the tropical western Pacific also propagates northwestward.It excites a low-frequency teleconnection wave train over the North Pacific.The WPSH jumps accompanied by the westward shift of the anomalous mid-latitude anticyclone.In the earlier years,more extremely high temperature events occur over north of the Yangtze River region,and the regions over Northeast,Huanghuai,and Jiangnan are more likely to suffer persistent heavy rainfall.In the later years,the regions over Southwest and Jiangnan are more prone to extremely high temperatures,and the area of middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River are more likely to suffer more frequent and intense persistent heavy rainfall.

WPSHtropical low-frequency oscillationextremely high temperaturespersistent heavy rainfall

何剑桥、任雪娟

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南京大学中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室/大气科学学院,南京 210023

西太平洋副热带高压 热带大气低频振荡 极端高温 持续性强降水

国家重点研发计划资助项目国家自然科学基金资助项目

2023YFF080540442175021

2024

气象科学
江苏省气象学会

气象科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.925
ISSN:1009-0827
年,卷(期):2024.44(4)