首页|青藏高原积雪深度变化及其影响因素分析

青藏高原积雪深度变化及其影响因素分析

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基于青藏高原逐日积雪深度和地表太阳辐射、逐月气温和降水量资料,利用多种统计方法,分析了该地区近几十年雪深变化特征及其与气象因素的关系。结果表明:高原积雪深度在1970s和1980s总体呈现显著增加的趋势,1990s中期之后开始减少,2000年后高原雪深仍然以减少为主,显著减少区域位于羌塘高原,显著增加区域位于喜马拉雅山脉、喀喇昆仑山以及高原中东部高海拔地区。雪深由少雪期到多雪期的突变时间主要处于1960s中期至1970s初,由多雪期到少雪期突变时间主要处于1990s末期至2000s初。青藏高原西部地区雪深存在13~17 a左右的周期变化,而东部地区存在3~7 a左右的周期变化。地表太阳辐射的减少是高原1970s和1980s积雪增加的主要因素,两者呈现较为显著的负相关,1990s中后期气温的显著增加是积雪减少的主要因素,两者呈负相关性,降水量与积雪整体呈正相关性,在温度相对较低,地表太阳辐射较低的情况下,降水量的增减对积雪的影响更明显。
Analysis on the variation of snow depth and its influencing factors in Tibetan Plateau
Based on the daily snow depth and surface solar radiation,monthly temperature,and precipitation data of the Tibetan Plateau,various statistical methods were used to analyze the characteristics of snow depth changes in the region in recent decades and their relationship with meteorological factors.Results show that the snow depth on the plateau showed a significant increasing trend in the 1970s and 1980s,and began to decrease after the mid-1990s.After 2000,the snow depth on the plateau still mainly decreased.The significantly reduced area is located in the Qiangtang Plateau,and the significantly increased area is located in the Himalayas,the Karakoram Mountains and the high altitude areas in the middle and east of the plateau.The sudden change of snow depth from less to more snow period mainly occurred in the mid-1960s to early 1970s,and the sudden change from more to less mainly occurred in the late 1990s to early 2000s.The snow depth in the western region of the Tibetan Plateau varies periodically from 13 to 17 years,while in the eastern region it varies periodically from 3 to 7 years.The decrease in surface solar radiation was the main factor contributing to the increase in snow cover on the plateau in the 1970s and 1980s,with a significant negative correlation between the two.The significant increase in temperature in the mid to late 1990s was the main factor contributing to the decrease in snow cover,with a negative correlation between the two.The overall correlation between precipitation and snow cover was positive.In the case of relatively low temperature and low surface solar radiation,the increase or decrease in precipitation had a more significant impact on snow cover.

Tibetan Plateausnow depthmeteorological elements

叶聪霄、马晓燕

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南京信息工程大学大气物理学院/中国气象局气溶胶与云降水重点开放实验室,南京 210044

青藏高原 积雪深度 气象要素

第二次青藏高原科考资助项目国家自然科学基金资助项目国家自然科学基金资助项目

2019QZKK01034206113400941975002

2024

气象科学
江苏省气象学会

气象科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.925
ISSN:1009-0827
年,卷(期):2024.44(4)