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数字经济与长三角地区高质量发展——时空效应与机制检验

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基于长三角41个地级及以上城市面板数据,运用固定效应模型、空间杜宾模型、中介效应模型、面板门槛模型实证检验数字经济对高质量发展的时空效应及作用机制.研究发现:数字经济对本地及邻地高质量发展具有促进作用,且长期影响大于短期;伴随地理距离增加,数字经济对高质量发展的空间溢出呈现"由正转负"的阶段性变化,485千米为其有效溢出边界.机制分析表明,绿色创新、产业集聚与外资流入均可正向中介数字经济与高质量发展的内在联系,并且在机制变量的调节下,数字经济的高质量发展效应还存在梯度增强过程.异质性分析显示,数字经济对高质量发展的影响在城市区位、城市规模和城市性质层面表现出显著的结构性差异.
Digital Economy and High-quality Development in Yangtze River Delta Region:Spatio-temporal Effect and Mechanism Test
Based on the panel data of 41 prefecture-level and above cities in the Yangtze River Delta,the fixed effect mod-el,spatial Durbin model,mediating effect model,and panel threshold model are used to empirically test the spatial and tem-poral effects of digital economy on high-quality development and the mechanism of action.This study found that the digital economy positively affects the high-quality development of local and neighboring regions and that the long-term impact is greater than the short-term.Along with the increase in geographical distance,the spatial spillover of the digital economy to high-quality development shows a phase change from positive to negative,with 485 km as its effective spillover boundary.The mechanism analysis shows that green innovation,industrial agglomeration,and foreign capital inflow can all positively mediate the intrinsic link between the digital economy and high-quality development,and there is also a gradient enhance-ment process of the high-quality development effect of the digital economy moderated by mechanism variables.The hetero-geneity analysis shows that the impact of the digital economy on high-quality development shows significant structural differences at the level of city location,city size,and city nature.

Yangtze River Delta regiondigital economyhigh-quality developmentdynamic spatial Durbin model

聂永有、姚清宇、刘一凡

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上海大学经济学院,上海 200444

长三角地区 数字经济 高质量发展 动态空间杜宾模型

教育部人文社会科学研究项目

20YJA790055

2024

软科学
四川省科学技术促进发展研究中心

软科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.333
ISSN:1001-8409
年,卷(期):2024.38(2)
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