Research on Disruptive Technology Diffusion Based on Complex Network Evolutionary Game
This paper combines the theories of complex networks and evolutionary games,develops a complex network-based evolutionary game model that emphasizes the characteristics of disruptive technologies,and uses computer simulation methods to investigate the macro and micro characteristics of the diffusion of this kind of technology.The results suggest that while the diffusion outcomes of disruptive technologies among new entrants are relatively predictable,the diffusion outcomes among incumbent firms exhibit a high degree of unpredictability.Increasing the disruptive potential of disruptive technolo-gies and the extent to which their encroachment on mainstream markets does not guarantee full diffusion.Characteristics of network structure have a significant impact on the diffusion of disruptive technologies.
disruptive technologiestechnology diffusioncomplex networksevolutionary games