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中国水—能源—碳排放系统效率的时空差异及影响因素

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研究采用网络DEA模型测算2007-2021年我国省际水—能源—碳排放(WEC)系统效率,基于修正的引力模型构建中国WEC系统效率关联网络,应用社会网络分析方法考察网络整体特征及个体特征,使用QAP回归探究效率差异形成的影响因素.研究发现:①WEC系统整体效率呈"U"形变化趋势,水资源子系统和碳排放子系统效率高于WEC整体效率,能源子系统效率低于WEC整体效率.②碳排放效率在空间分布上呈现自西向东不断增长的梯度变化,东部地区效率水平显著高于其他地区,东北地区与其他地区差距有扩大趋势.③WEC系统效率关联网络连通性良好,网络效率呈"U"形变化,网络密度则呈倒"U"形变动,网络中上海等省市的地位突出,初步形成了长三角、京津冀等核心板块.④经济发展水平为效率差异的核心影响因素,外向接近中心度、内向接近中心度、接近中心度和科技投入有正向影响作用,中介中心度和城镇化水平有负向影响作用,产业结构的影响具有阶段性.
The Temporal-spatial Differences and Influencing Factors of Water-Energy-Carbon System Efficiency in China
The paper uses the network DEA model to calculate the efficiency of China's inter-provincial WEC system from 2007 to 2021,then,based on the modified gravity model,a correlation network for the efficiency of China's WEC system is constructed.Social network analysis methods are applied to examine the overall and individual characteristics of the net-work,and QAP regression is used to explore the influencing factors of efficiency differences.Results show that:first,the o-verall efficiency of WEC shows a U-shaped trend,with the efficiency of the water resources subsystem and carbon emission subsystem being higher than the overall efficiency,and the efficiency of the energy subsystem being lower than the overall ef-ficiency.Second,the carbon emission efficiency shows a gradient change in spatial distribution that continuously increases from west to east.The efficiency in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in other regions,and the gap between the northeast region and other regions is expanding.Third,the network of the efficiency of WEC is connected well,with a U-shaped change in network efficiency and an inverted U-shaped change in network density.Shanghai and other provinces have a prominent position in the network,forming core areas such as the Yangtze River Delta and Beijing Tianjin Hebei.Fourth,economic development is the core influencing factor of inter-provincial efficiency differences;out-degree,in-de-gree,closeness,and technological investment have positive impacts,while betweenness and urbanization have negative im-pacts;and the impact of industrial structure has a phased nature.

water-energy-carbonnetwork DEAsocial network analysisQAP regression

王文彬、许冉、桂黄宝

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华北水利水电大学管理与经济学院,郑州 450046

郑州师范学院经济与管理学院,郑州 450044

水—能源—碳排放 网络DEA 社会网络分析 QAP回归

2024

软科学
四川省科学技术促进发展研究中心

软科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.333
ISSN:1001-8409
年,卷(期):2024.38(11)