机器换人:人工智能应用抑或要素相对价格变动?
Machine Replacing Human:AI Application or Relative Price Changes of Factors?
丁建勋 1王云瑶 1吴家宇 1罗润东2
作者信息
- 1. 青岛理工大学商学院,山东青岛 266520
- 2. 山东大学 劳动经济与人力资源研究中心,山东 威海 264200
- 折叠
摘要
基于任务式刻画人工智能的方法构建数理模型,分析了人工智能应用与利率-工资率比率变动对机器换人的影响.结果表明,人工智能应用、利率-工资率比率降低都会引致机器换人,但究竟哪一个起更大的作用在理论上无法确定,需要求助于实证研究;其次,基于经验观察以及更为严格的计量分析发现,人工智能应用、利率-工资率比率降低的确都会引致机器换人,但利率-工资率比率变动的作用要大于人工智能应用的作用.对上述结果作原因解析后,提出相应的政策建议.
Abstract
This paper constructs a mathematical model based on task-based characterization of AI,and analyzes the impact of AI applications and changes in the interest rate-wage rate ratio on machine replacement.Results show that both AI ap-plications and a decrease in the interest rate-wage rate ratio can lead to machine replacement,but it is theoretically uncer-tain which one plays a greater role,and empirical research is needed.Secondly,based on empirical observations and more rigorous econometric analysis,both AI applications and a decrease in the interest rate-wage rate ratio can indeed lead to machine replacement,but the effect of changes in the interest rate-wage rate ratio is greater than that of AI applications.Furthermore,after explaining the causes of the aforementioned results,corresponding policy recommendations are provided.
关键词
机器换人/人工智能应用/要素相对价格变动Key words
machine replacing human/AI applications/relative price changes of factors引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024