软科学2024,Vol.38Issue(12) :7-14.DOI:10.13956/j.ss.1001-8409.2024.12.02

机器换人:人工智能应用抑或要素相对价格变动?

Machine Replacing Human:AI Application or Relative Price Changes of Factors?

丁建勋 王云瑶 吴家宇 罗润东
软科学2024,Vol.38Issue(12) :7-14.DOI:10.13956/j.ss.1001-8409.2024.12.02

机器换人:人工智能应用抑或要素相对价格变动?

Machine Replacing Human:AI Application or Relative Price Changes of Factors?

丁建勋 1王云瑶 1吴家宇 1罗润东2
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作者信息

  • 1. 青岛理工大学商学院,山东青岛 266520
  • 2. 山东大学 劳动经济与人力资源研究中心,山东 威海 264200
  • 折叠

摘要

基于任务式刻画人工智能的方法构建数理模型,分析了人工智能应用与利率-工资率比率变动对机器换人的影响.结果表明,人工智能应用、利率-工资率比率降低都会引致机器换人,但究竟哪一个起更大的作用在理论上无法确定,需要求助于实证研究;其次,基于经验观察以及更为严格的计量分析发现,人工智能应用、利率-工资率比率降低的确都会引致机器换人,但利率-工资率比率变动的作用要大于人工智能应用的作用.对上述结果作原因解析后,提出相应的政策建议.

Abstract

This paper constructs a mathematical model based on task-based characterization of AI,and analyzes the impact of AI applications and changes in the interest rate-wage rate ratio on machine replacement.Results show that both AI ap-plications and a decrease in the interest rate-wage rate ratio can lead to machine replacement,but it is theoretically uncer-tain which one plays a greater role,and empirical research is needed.Secondly,based on empirical observations and more rigorous econometric analysis,both AI applications and a decrease in the interest rate-wage rate ratio can indeed lead to machine replacement,but the effect of changes in the interest rate-wage rate ratio is greater than that of AI applications.Furthermore,after explaining the causes of the aforementioned results,corresponding policy recommendations are provided.

关键词

机器换人/人工智能应用/要素相对价格变动

Key words

machine replacing human/AI applications/relative price changes of factors

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出版年

2024
软科学
四川省科学技术促进发展研究中心

软科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.333
ISSN:1001-8409
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