首页|二胎生育对女性就业和工作时间的动态影响——基于事件研究法的分析

二胎生育对女性就业和工作时间的动态影响——基于事件研究法的分析

The Dynamic Effects of Having a Second Child on Female Employment and Working Hours——Based on the Method of Event-study Estimate

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与一胎生育相比,二胎生育使女性面临的工作-家庭矛盾表现得更为突出.二胎生育不仅会在一胎抚养的基础上进一步挤占女性的闲暇时间和工作时间,使女性丧失大量就业机会,而且可能导致就业女性丢失工作.本文基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,应用事件研究法分析二胎生育对女性就业和工作时间的影响.研究结论表明:二胎生育使女性就业概率明显下降,但随着时间的推移,负向影响程度降低;二胎生育对低教育程度女性工作时间有负向影响,但对中高教育程度女性工作时间的影响不显著;与一胎生育相比,女性不愿意为二胎生育付出更多的就业机会成本,而是通过减少工作时间来应对;二胎生育对年龄较大女性的负向影响持续时间可能更长;工作灵活性的提高使二胎生育对女性工作时间的负向影响增加,对就业的负向影响减小.因此,政府部门可以通过保留工作岗位,提高工作时间灵活性,降低二胎生育给女性带来的失业风险;通过提供就业服务,加快因生育失业的女性回归劳动力市场的速度,减少二胎生育对女性就业负向影响的持续时间;同时通过加强社会宣传和引导,平衡家庭内部育儿分工,降低女性育儿负担;通过加强生育保障服务促进有二胎生育意愿的女性尽早生育.这些措施均有助于降低生育对女性就业带来的负向影响,促进女性身心健康发展.
Compared with having one child,having a second child makes work-family conflict more intense for women.Having a second child will not only occupy women's leisure time and working time for raising a child,but also cause women to lose many job opportunities and may lead to losing their jobs.Based on the data from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),this paper analyzes the effects of having a second child on women's employment and working hours by using the method of event-study estimate.The results show that:having a second child makes female employment probability decrease obviously,but with the passage of time,the negative effect decreases.Having a second child has a negative effect on the working hours of women with low education,but has no significant effect on the working hours of women with high education.Compared with having one child,women are not willing to pay more employment opportunity cost for having a second child,but their working hours are reduced more.The negative effect of having a second child on older women may last longer.With the increase of work flexibility,the negative impact of having a second child on women's working time is enhanced,while the negative impact on their employment is weakened.Therefore,the government can reserve jobs and improve the flexibility of working hours for woman to reduce the risk of unemployment caused by having a second child;By providing employment services to accelerate the return of unemployed women who have dropped out of the labor market to raise children,reduce the duration of the negative impact of having a second child on female employment;Through strengthening social publicity and guidance,balance the division of child care within the family,reduce the burden of female child care;By strengthening fertility protection services to encourage women who want to have a second child to give birth as early as possible.These measures all help to reduce the negative impact of childbirth on women's employment,and promote the physical and mental health of women who give birth.

Two-child FertilityEmploymentWorking Hours

郭凤鸣、常慧

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吉林大学 数量经济研究中心

吉林大学 商学与管理学院,吉林 长春 130012

二胎生育 就业 工作时间

教育部青年基金

22YJC840020

2023

人口学刊
吉林大学

人口学刊

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.307
ISSN:1004-129X
年,卷(期):2023.45(6)
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