The Impact of Population Agglomeration on Common Prosperity:An Case Study of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
Common prosperity is an important feature of Chinese-style modernization and an essential requirement of socialism with Chinese characteristics.How to promote the realization of common prosperity has become an urgent problem for the government and academia.This paper takes the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area as a sample to explore the impact of population agglomeration on the common prosperity of the inner and surrounding areas of urban agglomerations.Based on theoretical analysis,the"Integrated FGLS"method and the dynamic panel space Durbin model are used to estimate the following conclusions:Population agglomeration in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area plays a positive role in promoting common prosperity within the urban agglomerations and promoting common prosperity in the surrounding areas of the urban agglomerations.In the short term,there is a positive spatial spillover effect,but in the long term,the population of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area cannot gather indefinitely.When the development reaches a certain level,the crowding effect will exceed the agglomeration effect and have a negative impact on common prosperity.The above conclusions mean that the current situation of multi-center agglomeration within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has a high degree of spatial coordinated development.While promoting common prosperity within the urban agglomeration,it also drives the development of the surrounding areas in the short term.However,a more sustainable development in the long run still requires a more balanced distribution of population in the whole area of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao,rather than an infinite agglomeration to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.Based on the above conclusions,this paper proposes that infrastructure connectivity,industrial connectivity and urban connectivity will facilitate a smoother flow of factor resources such as population in the Greater Bay Area,East and west areas of Guangdong,and mountain areas of Guangdong,optimize resource allocation,promote the overall development of Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao,and achieve a true sense of the first wealth to drive the second wealth and finally achieve common prosperity.
urban agglomerationpopulation agglomerationregional coordinated developmentcommon prosperityGuangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
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