首页|丹江口水库入库流量平滑修正方法研究

丹江口水库入库流量平滑修正方法研究

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准确的入库流量计算是科学开展水库调度的重要基础.针对反推入库流量存在的剧烈跳动现象,开展了入库流量推求方法研究,论述了常用推求方法的原理及适用性,聚焦丹江口水库库容特点,采用控制变量法,针对反推时段数目、滑动平均算法及坝前水位代表性等影响静库容反推计算结果的主要因素进行了定量对比分析,比选提出了适用于丹江口水库的入库流量平滑修正计算方法.研究结果表明:丹江口水库采用库容反推法,耦合6h反推、6h滑动、多站水位算数平均值作为坝前水位可获得兼具准确性和平滑性的入库流量计算结果.所提方法在保证洪峰流量和峰现时间更接近真实情况的同时,入库过程方差更小、平滑度更高,可为丹江口水库科学精细化调度管理提供重要的技术支撑.
Study on smooth correction method of inflow into Danjiangkou Reservoir
Accurate inflow into reservoir calculation is an important basis for scientific reservoir operation.However,the severe jumping phenomenon of reverse deduced inflow remains a difficult problem.In this study,the principles and applicability of com-monly used methods for calculating inflow are discussed.Focusing on the characteristics of Danjiangkou Reservoir capacity,we quantitatively compared and analyzed the main factors that affect the inverted calculation of static storage capacity by using the single variable methods,such as the number of reverse calculation periods,the sliding average algorithm,and representativeness of water level in front of the dam.Then,a smooth correction calculation method for the inflow into Danjiangkou Reservoir was pro-posed.The results showed that for Danjiangkou Reservoir,the inverted deduced reservoir capacity method can obtain both quasi-deterministic and smooth inflow calculation results,coupled with 6 h inversion,6 h sliding,and the multi-station average levels as the water level in front of the dam.The proposed method ensured that the peak flow and peak time are closer to the real situa-tion,while the variance of the inflow flow was smaller and the smoothness was higher.The research results can provide important technical support for the scientific and refined operation of Danjiangkou Reservoir.

inflow into reservoirhydrologic balancereverse deduction by static storage capacitymoving averageDanjiangkou Reservoir

曾凡林、牛文静、张成孝、严方家、邢雯慧

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汉江水利水电(集团)有限责任公司,湖北武汉 430048

长江水利委员会水文局,湖北武汉 430010

长江水利委员会水文局汉江水文水资源勘测局,湖北襄阳 441022

入库流量 水量平衡 静库容反推 滑动平均 丹江口水库

国家重点研发计划青年科学家项目湖北省自然科学基金联合基金汉江集团科研项目

2023YFC32105002023AFD203H202112

2024

人民长江
水利部长江水利委员会

人民长江

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.451
ISSN:1001-4179
年,卷(期):2024.55(2)
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