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赣江流域水文情势时空差异性及变化分析

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赣江流域作为鄱阳湖流域最大的子流域,是长江中下游的重要水源区,研究赣江流域的水文情势可以拓展对该区域水文演变机制的认识.基于赣江流域 2000~2021 年的日降雨量和径流监测数据,采用Mann-Kendall检验以及相关分析等方法,结合HYPE水文模拟和PEST自动率定技术对参数敏感性指数、径流量及降雨量等指标进行水文过程及其时空变异的研究.结果表明:① 流域内的水文变量呈现一定的时空变化.在年尺度上,径流量和降雨量有一定的波动,总体上呈现小幅上升趋势,两者之间存在明显的正相关关系,同时流域内水库运行也可能对水文机制产生一定影响;在月尺度上,径流量和降雨量均在6 月达到峰值,1 月达到最低值;在空间分布上,年均径流和降雨量在流域东部和北部均较大.② 在水文过程模拟中,描述发生大孔隙流和地表径流的土壤水含量阈值的参数mactrsm相对综合敏感性最大.③ HYPE模型能够较好地模拟赣江流域及其代表性子流域宜丰河流域的径流动态变化(0.60≤Ens≤0.86),宜丰河小流域出口(宜丰水文站)的流量模拟效果明显低于赣江流域出口(外洲水文站).在年尺度上,宜丰站子流域的土壤湿度、蒸发量和地表径流整体上呈现上升趋势;在空间分布上,外洲站子流域相较于宜丰站子流域,土壤湿度更高、蒸发量较低、地表径流更大.④ 根据基流分割,宜丰站子流域和外洲站子流域的径流机制有所不同,表现在宜丰站子流域饱和地下水对总径流的贡献较大,而外洲站子流域地表径流对总径流的贡献较大.流域特征非均质性和水文过程变异是造成模型精度空间差异的主要原因.
Investigation on spatial and temporal variabilities and changes of hydrological regimes in Ganjiang River Basin
As the largest sub-basin of Poyang Lake Basin,Ganjiang River Basin serves as an important water source area in the middle and lower reaches of the Changjiang River.Investigating the hydrological regimes of the Ganjiang River Basin may as-sist for understanding the hydrological evolution mechanism in this region.To this end,based on the daily rainfall and runoff moni-toring data of Ganjiang River Basin from 2000 to 2021,we used statistical analysis(Mann-Kendall test,correlation analysis),combined with using HYPE hydrological simulation and PEST automatic calibration technology to study the hydrological process and its spatial and temporal variation of parameter sensitivity index,runoff and rainfall.The results showed that:① hydrological variables exhibited certain spatial and temporal changes within the watershed.On the annual scale,both runoff and precipitation showed fluctuations with overall slight upward trends,runoff had a clear positive correlation with precipitation.The regulating res-ervoirs within the Ganjiang River Basin may impact the hydrological regime.On the monthly scale,highest runoff and precipitation occurred in June and lowest values occurred in January.In terms of spatial distribution,both annual mean runoff and precipitation were higher in the eastern and northern parts of the Ganjiang River Basin.② The runoff simulation was most sensitive to the pa-rameter mactrsm of soil water content threshold that describes macropore flow and surface runoff occur.③HYPE model well simu-lated the runoff dynamics observed in outlets of the Ganjiang River Basin(Waizhou gauging station)and its representative sub-basin Yifeng River catchment(Yifeng gauging station),with Ens varying between 0.60 and 0.86.HYPE model outperforms in Waizhou gauging station than the Yifeng gauging station.On the annual scale,soil moisture,evapotranspiration and surface runoff showed overall increasing trends in the sub-basin represented by Yifeng discharge gauging station.Regarding spatial variation,the sub-basin represented by Waizhou discharge gauging station had higher soil moisture,lower evapotranspiration and higher surface runoff compared to the sub-basin represented by Yifeng discharge gauging station.④According to baseflow partitioning,Yifeng and Waizhou sub-basins showed different runoff generation regimes.We noted higher contribution of saturated groundwa-ter to total runoff in the sub-basin of Yifeng gauging station,while higher contribution of surface runoff to total runoff in the sub-basin of Waizhou gauging station.The spatial difference in accuracy of hydrological simulation is mainly associated with the het-erogeneity of catchment characteristics and changes in hydrological processes.

hydrological regimesspatial and temporal variabilitiesMann-Kendall trend testtrend analysishydrological sim-ulationHYPE modelGanjiang River Basin

王真、姜三元、张奇、高海鹰

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东南大学 土木工程学院,江苏 南京 211189

中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所 中国科学院流域地理学重点实验室,江苏 南京 210008

水文情势 时空差异 M-K检验 趋势分析 水文模拟 HYPE模型 赣江流域

中国科学院对外合作重点项目国家自然科学基金项目

131432KYSB2020002941877487

2024

人民长江
水利部长江水利委员会

人民长江

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.451
ISSN:1001-4179
年,卷(期):2024.55(3)
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