首页|长江经济带城市灾害风险与应对能力耦合分析

长江经济带城市灾害风险与应对能力耦合分析

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长江经济带具有复杂多变的地理环境与水文条件,分析其主要城市的自然灾害风险以及评估综合应对能力的适应性具有现实紧迫性.建构了自然灾害风险和综合应对能力评价指标体系,评价分析了 2014~2020 年间重庆、武汉、上海3 座中心城市的自然灾害风险与综合应对能力之间协调性程度的变化趋势及差异性,采用灰色关联度法分析探究其影响因素.研究表明:①2014~2020 年间长江经济带中心城市自然灾害风险系统与综合应对的协调程度存在差异.其中,重庆市的整体协调度相对优于武汉市和上海市.武汉市和上海市自然灾害风险和综合应对能力协调度呈波动起伏变化的特征.② 自然地理环境、城市经济发展、产业结构、人口特征对不同城市的协调度表现出差异化的影响力.研究成果对提高长江经济带城市的抗风险能力和减少风险损失具有重要意义.
Coupling analysis on urban disaster risk and response capacity in Yangtze River Economic Belt
The Yangtze River Economic Belt has complex and changeable geographical environment and hydrological condi-tions,analyzing the natural disaster risks of major cities and evaluating the adaptability of comprehensive response capabilities is crucial.We constructed an evaluation index system for natural disaster risks and comprehensive response capabilities.Additional-ly,the evolving trends and differences in coordination degree between natural disaster risks and comprehensive response capabili-ties were evaluated and analyzed for three central cities of Chongqing,Wuhan,and Shanghai City from 2014 to 2020.The gray cor-relation method was used to analyze and explore its influencing factors.The results showed that:① there were differences in the coordination degree between natural disaster risk systems and comprehensive responses in central cities of Yangtze River Econom-ic Belt from 2014 to 2020.Among them,Chongqing's overall coordination was relatively better than that of Wuhan and Shanghai City.The coordination degrees in Wuhan and Shanghai City were characterized by fluctuations.②Factors such as the natural geo-graphical environment,urban economic development,industrial structure,and demographic characteristics have differential influ-ences on the coordination of different cities.The above research results are of great significance for improving risk resistance capa-bilities and reducing risk losses of cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

Yangtze River Economic Beltnatural disaster riskcentral citycoupling coordination degreegray correlation a-nalysis

张达、石云、李祖昊、黄译萱

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防灾科技学院 生态环境学院,河北 廊坊 065201

湖南师范大学 地理科学学院,湖南 长沙 410006

长江经济带 自然灾害风险 中心城市 耦合协调度 灰色关联分析

中央高校基本科研业务费专项国家重点研发计划子课题

ZY202151372017YFD0300403-01

2024

人民长江
水利部长江水利委员会

人民长江

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.451
ISSN:1001-4179
年,卷(期):2024.55(5)
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