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长江经济带旅游经济-城镇化-生态环境耦合研究

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旅游经济-城镇化-生态环境的耦合协调发展是长江经济带高质量发展的关键,探索三者之间的关系及其驱动因素具有重要意义.以长江经济带为研究区,构建旅游经济-城镇化-生态环境耦合协调发展评价指标体系,运用熵值法、耦合协调模型、OLS模型、GWR模型等,从时空视角探究长江经济带11 个省市2012~2021 年旅游经济-城镇化-生态环境耦合协调发展状况和驱动因素.结果表明:①2012~2019 年长江经济带耦合协调度呈上升趋势,生态环境子系统起主导作用;2020~2021 年的新冠疫情期间,耦合协调度先明显下降,后缓慢恢复.②长江经济带旅游经济-城镇化-生态环境耦合协调度呈现东高西低的空间格局,各省市综合评价水平、子系统评价水平得分的上升和恢复速度有明显差异,长江经济带总体向有序协调发展.③推动三系统协调发展的驱动因素总体可分为外部动力和内在动力,其中以入境游客人数为代表的外部动力和以水资源总量、工业废水排放量为代表的内部动力对长江经济带耦合协调的正向驱动作用最强.
Study on coupling of tourism economy-urbanization-ecological environment of Yangtze River Economic Belt
The coupling and coordinated development of tourism economy-urbanization-ecological environment is key to the high-quality development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,and it is of great significance to explore the relationship between the three elements and driving factors.Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as the research region,based on the coupling and coordinated development mechanism of tourism economy-urbanization-ecological environment,a evaluation index system of the coupling and coordinated development of the three systems was constructed,and entropy evaluation method,coupling and coordi-nated development degree model,OLS model,GWR model and other methods were applied.This paper studied the coupling and coordinated development status and driving factors of tourism economy-urbanization-ecological environment in 11 provinces of the Yangtze River Economic Belt during 2012~2021 from dimensions of time and space.The results showed that:①the coupling coordination degree of the Yangtze River Economic Belt was on the rise from 2012 to 2019,and the ecological environment subsys-tem played a leading role.During the 2020~2021 COVID-19 pandemic period,the coupling coordination first showed a signifi-cant decline,and then entered into a slow recovery phase.②The coupling coordination degree of tourism economy-urbanization-ecological environment in the Yangtze River Economic Belt presented a spatial pattern of high in the east and low in the west,and there were obvious differences in the increase and recovery speed of the comprehensive evaluation and systems scores of prov-inces and cities,indicating that the region as a whole was developing in an orderly and coordinated way.③ Overall,the driving factors can be divided into external and internal driving forces,in which the external driving forces represented by the number of inbound tourists and the internal driving forces represented by the total amount of water resources and industrial waste water dis-charge have the strongest positive driving effects on coupling and coordination of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

Yangtze River Economic Belttourism economy-urbanization-ecological environmentcoupling coordinationGWR modeldriving factors

王佳韡、冉光泰、肖世平、吴佳敏

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福建师范大学文化旅游与公共管理学院,福建福州 350117

智慧旅游福建省高校重点实验室,福建福州 350117

福建师范大学地理科学学院、碳中和未来技术学院,福建福州 350117

长江经济带 旅游经济-城镇化-生态环境 耦合协调 GWR模型 驱动因素

国家自然科学基金青年基金项目

42101297

2024

人民长江
水利部长江水利委员会

人民长江

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.451
ISSN:1001-4179
年,卷(期):2024.55(10)
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