人民长江2024,Vol.55Issue(10) :126-132.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2024.10.017

可可西里盐湖时空演化规律及漫溢成因分析

Analysis on spatiotemporal evolution law and overflow causes of Salt Lake in Hoh Xil

苗学云 米维军 唐占峰 程佳 沈朝政 李胜威
人民长江2024,Vol.55Issue(10) :126-132.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2024.10.017

可可西里盐湖时空演化规律及漫溢成因分析

Analysis on spatiotemporal evolution law and overflow causes of Salt Lake in Hoh Xil

苗学云 1米维军 1唐占峰 2程佳 1沈朝政 3李胜威3
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作者信息

  • 1. 中铁西北科学研究院有限公司,甘肃兰州 730000;青海省冻土与环境工程重点实验室,青海 格尔木 816000
  • 2. 中国铁路兰州局集团有限公司工程管理所,甘肃 兰州 730002
  • 3. 青海省冻土与环境工程重点实验室,青海 格尔木 816000;南京工业大学 交通运输工程学院,江苏南京 210009
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摘要

可可西里盐湖漫溢水流给下游工程设施带来了较大的安全隐患.通过对盐湖遥感影像、所在区域气温、降雨、地温,冻土上限变化,漫溢河流水位和流速的监测数据分析,研究了盐湖时空演化规律、漫溢成因及对下游潜在的安全风险.研究表明:在空间上可可西里盐湖呈"K-C-O"三阶段变化特征,2022 年盐湖面积较2011 年增加了3.73 倍;时间上表现为明显的"快-慢"两阶段增长期,快速期增长率为慢速期增长率的2.78倍,盐湖向下游工程走廊漫溢速率为0.31 km/a;随着季节性潮涨潮落及流速"峰谷"值变化,给下游桥梁桩基造成了一定的冲刷和热侵蚀作用;盐湖漫溢与多年冻土区气温、降雨、地温等因素呈正相关,近30a气温升温速率为0.052℃/a,年均降雨量线性增速为3.09 mm/a,地温线性升温速率为0.036℃/a,气候暖湿化特征是造成盐湖漫溢的主要成因.研究成果可为可可西里盐湖下游工程防护措施制定提供理论与技术指导.

Abstract

The overflowing water of the Salt Lake in Hoh Xil has brought great potential safety hazards to the downstream rail transit facilities.We analyzed monitoring data of remote sensing images over the Salt Lake in Hoh Xil,temperature,rainfall,ground temperature and the upper limit changes of permafrost in the area,as well as the water level and flow velocity of the overflowing river.Based on the above data,the spatiotemporal evolution law of the Salt Lake in Hoh Xil,the causes of overflow,and the poten-tial safety risks to the downstream were studied.The research showed that spatially,the Salt Lake in Hoh Xil presented a three-stage change characteristic of"K-C-O".In 2022,the area of the Salt Lake in Hoh Xil was 3.73 times larger than that in 2011.Temporally,it showed an obvious two-stage growth period of"fast-slow".The growth rate in the fast period was 2.78 times that in the slow period.The overflow rate of the Salt Lake in Hoh Xil to the downstream engineering corridor was 0.31 km/a.With the seasonal ebb and flow and the change of the"peak-valley"value of flow velocity,it has caused certain scouring and thermal ero-sion effects on the bridge pile foundation downstream.The overflow of the Salt Lake in Hoh Xil was positively correlated with fac-tors such as temperature,rainfall,and ground temperature in the permafrost region.In the past 30 years,the temperature increase rate was 0.052°C/a,the linear growth rate of annual average rainfall was 3.09 mm/a,and the linear temperature increase rate of ground temperature was 0.036°C/a.The characteristics of warm and humid climate were the main causes of Salt Lake in Hoh Xil overflow.The research results can provide theoretical and technical guidance for downstream facility protection.

关键词

盐湖漫溢/盐湖面积/气候变化/地温/可可西里盐湖/青藏高原

Key words

overflow of salt lake/area of salt lake/climate change/ground temperature/Salt Lake in Hoh Xil/Qinghai-Ti-bet Plateau

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基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFB2604804)

中国中铁股份有限公司科技研究开发计划项目(实用技术2022-重点-14)

中国中铁股份有限公司科技研发计划项目(科研院2023-重大-01)

出版年

2024
人民长江
水利部长江水利委员会

人民长江

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.451
ISSN:1001-4179
参考文献量12
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