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龙羊峡水库后汛期入库径流特征及可蓄水量分析

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以 1956-2022 年唐乃亥水文站实测水文数据为基础,采用数理统计方法,重点分析黄河源区后汛期径流特征,并结合龙羊峡水库满负荷发电流量,对龙羊峡水库在后汛期可蓄水量进行不同情景的分析讨论.研究表明:1)唐乃亥水文站后汛期径流量年际变化较大,丰枯不均,以正常偏枯为主,多年平均后汛期径流量占汛期径流量的 29.1%;2)唐乃亥水文站后汛期日平均流量在1 000 m3/s以上的径流量平均为8.96 亿m3,年际变化极大,以1 000 m3/s发电流量运用,龙羊峡水库蓄至正常蓄水位的保证率仅为10%,多数年份汛期结束后水位无法达到正常蓄水位2 600 m.建议根据后期来水,适时调整进入后汛期的时机,优化和调整龙羊峡水库年度调度方案,为高效合理利用黄河源区后汛期水资源奠定基础.
Analysis of the Inflow Runoff Characteristics and the Storage Capacity of the Longyangxia Reservoir in the Late-Flood Season
This paper focused on analyzing the runoff characteristics of the Yellow River source area during the late-flood season,based on the data of Tangnaihe Station from 1956 to 2022 by using mathematical and statistical methods.Combined with the full-load power generation flow of Longyangxia Reservoir,the water storage capacity of Longyangxia Reservoir in the post-flood period was analyzed and discussed in dif-ferent scenarios.The results show that a)the inter-annual variation of the late-flood runoff at Tangnaihai Station is significant,with uneven abundance and predominantly normal parity,accounting for 29.1%of the flood runoff.b)The average runoff volume above 1 000 m3/s dur-ing the late-flood season at the station is 896 million m3,with greater inter-annual variation.And applying with 1 000 m3/s power generation flow to meet the guarantee rate of Longyangxia Reservoir storage to the normal storage level is only 10%,and the water level at the end of the flood season cannot reach to the normal storage level of 2 600 m.Thus,it is suggested to adjust the time of entering the post-flood season ac-cording to the incoming water in the later period,optimize and adjust the annual operation scheme of Longyangxia Reservoir,and lay a foun-dation for efficient and reasonable utilization of the late-flood season water resources in the source area of the Yellow River.

late-flood seasonrunoff characteristicsreservoir storage capacityLongyangxia ReservoirYellow River source area

刘龙庆、刘玉环、张献志、沈延青

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黄河水利委员会 水文局,河南 郑州 450004

黄河上游水电开发有限责任公司,青海 西宁 810000

后汛期 径流特征 水库可蓄水量 龙羊峡水库 黄河源区

国家自然科学基金黄河水科学研究联合基金项目黄河上游水电开发有限责任公司科技项目国家自然科学基金面上项目

U2243229KY-C-2021-SD0742371021

2024

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2024.46(2)
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