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黄河流域九省(区)水资源利用与经济发展脱钩效应分析

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为缓解黄河流域九省(区)水资源利用与经济发展之间的矛盾,明晰水资源利用与经济发展脱钩驱动因子,基于Tapio脱钩指数模型和Kaya-LMDI因素分解模型,分析了 2001-2020 年黄河流域九省(区)水资源利用与经济发展脱钩状态及其驱动因素.结果表明:1)黄河流域九省(区)总水足迹呈波动上升趋势,其中农业生产用水是水足迹的主体.2)九省(区)水资源利用与经济发展整体呈弱脱钩态势,脱钩状态较为良好;下游两省脱钩状态最好,其次为上游五省(区),中游两省脱钩状态最差.3)产业结构和技术水平为脱钩正向驱动因素,经济发展和人口规模则为脱钩负向驱动因素,各省(区)脱钩驱动因子存在明显的空间差异.
Analysis of the Decoupling Effect of Water Resources Utilization and Economic Development in Nine Provinces of the Yellow River Basin
In order to alleviate the contradiction between water resources and economy in the nine provinces of the Yellow River Basin,and clarify the positive driving factors for the decoupling of water resources utilization and economic development,based on the Tapio decoupling index model and the Kaya-LMDI factor decomposition model,this study analyzed the decoupling status and driving forces of water resources utilization and economic development in the nine provinces of the Yellow River Basin from 2001 to 2020.The results show that a)the total water footprint of the nine provinces within the Yellow River Basin exhibits an upward trend,with agricultural production water accounting for the majority of the water footprint.b)The water resources utilization and economic development of the nine provinces as a whole show a weak decoupling trend,with a relatively favorable decoupling state.On a regional level,the downstream regions exhibit the strongest decoupling state,followed by upstream and midstream regions.c)It suggests that industrial structure and technological advancements serve as positive driving forces for decoupling,while economic development and population size act as negative driving forces.Furthermore,there are noticea-ble spatial disparities in the driving factors of decoupling across different regions.

water resources utilizationeconomic developmentdecouplingLMDIYellow River Basin

孙建峰、杨银科、曹兴达、袁卫宁、岳斌

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长安大学 水利与环境学院,陕西 西安 710054

旱区地下水文与生态效应教育部重点实验室,陕西 西安 710054

甘肃省水文站,甘肃 兰州 730000

水资源利用 经济发展 脱钩 LMDI 黄河流域

长安大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项中国科学院黄土与第四纪地质国家重点实验室开放基金资助项目陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目

300102292903SKLLQG19332017JM40182021SF-497

2024

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2024.46(2)
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