首页|城市化与水资源耦合协调关系及影响因素研究

城市化与水资源耦合协调关系及影响因素研究

扫码查看
为促进城市化与水资源关系协调高效发展,推动城市可持续性建设及流域水资源合理利用,计算并分析了 2006-2015 年马颊河流域城市化系统与水资源系统的综合指数变化,并利用耦合协调及灰色关联度模型,探析流域城市化与水资源系统耦合关系变化的时空特征及主要交互影响因素.研究发现:1)流域城市化、水资源指数均呈总体增长态势,城市化指数由 0.001 增长至0.940,水资源指数由 0.368 增长至 0.598.其中,人口城市化及水资源利用一级指标对各系统综合指数的作用最大.2)从时间上看,流域城市化与水资源耦合度呈波动上升趋势,耦合协调度及耦合协调等级显著提升,由严重失调发展为良好协调;从空间上看,城市化与水资源耦合协调度存在显著性地区差异,各市耦合协调度高低表现为邯郸>德州>滨州>聊城>濮阳,跨省流域城市化与水资源系统的综合协调性存在较大上升空间.3)流域城市化与水资源系统表现出中高度关联的交互关系.其中,城市人均拥有道路面积和城市排水管道长度是各系统的最高关联影响因素,城市人口密度和水压力指数为最低关联影响因素.
Study on Coupling Coordination Relationship and Influencing Factors Between Urbanization and Water Resources
In order to promote the coordinated and efficient development of the relationship between urbanization and water resources,pro-mote the sustainable construction of cities,and promote the rational utilization of water resources in the basin,the comprehensive index chan-ges of the two urbanization and water resources systems in the Majia River watershed from 2006 to 2015 were calculated and analyzed.Using the coupling coordination and grey correlation model,the spatial-temporal characteristics and main interactive influencing factors of the cou-pling relationship changes between urbanization and water resources in the watershed were analyzed.The results show that a)both the urbani-zation index of the watershed and the composite index of water resources show a general increase,with the composite index of urbanization in-creasing from 0.001 to 0.940 and the composite index of water resources increasing from 0.368 to 0.598.Among them,the indicators of popu-lation urbanization and water resources utilization level have the greatest effect on each system composite index.b)In terms of time,the de-gree of urban-water coupling in the watershed shows a fluctuating upward trend,and the degree of coupling coordination and the level of cou-pling coordination increase significantly,developing from serious disorder to good coordination;Spatially,there are significant regional differ-ences in the degree of urban-water coupling coordination,and the degree of coupling coordination of each city is Handan>Dezhou>Binzhou>Liaocheng>Puyang,and the overall coordination of urban-water systems in the cross-provincial watershed has more room for improvement.c)The watershed urbanization and the water resources system exhibit a medium to high degree of interaction.Among them,urban road area per capita and urban drainage pipe length are the most correlated influencing factors for each system,while urban population density and wa-ter pressure index are the least correlated influencing factors.

urbanizationwater resourcescoupling coordinationgrey correlation degreeMajia River watershed

蔡振华、耿冉、王海军、刘薇、王效忠

展开 >

山东省水文中心,山东 济南 250000

山东师范大学 商学院,山东 济南 250358

城市化 水资源 耦合协调 灰色关联度 马颊河流域

国家社会科学基金资助项目国家自然科学基金资助项目

21BGL00372004124

2024

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2024.46(2)
  • 1
  • 14