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黄河流域城市经济韧性与生态韧性的耦合协调关系研究

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城市是黄河流域高质量发展的重要载体,提升城市经济韧性与生态韧性是城市高质量发展的重要内容.为了给黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展重大国家战略的全面实施提供参考,选择沿黄 67 个地级市作为研究对象,以 2010 年、2015 年、2020 年为时间节点,在分析黄河流域城市经济韧性与生态韧性耦合机理的基础上,运用WSR理论构建黄河流域城市经济韧性与生态韧性评价指标体系,采用耦合协调度模型分析二者耦合协调演变趋势,运用地理探测器分析耦合协调度的主要影响因子,结果表明:1)黄河流域城市经济韧性与生态韧性耦合协调度在 2010-2020 年整体上先升后降但变化幅度不大,在空间上呈现下游高于中游、中游高于上游的态势;2)黄河流域城市经济韧性与生态韧性耦合协调度整体较低,对 67 个城市按良好协调、勉强协调、轻度失调、严重失调进行聚类的城市数量分别为 4、7、41、15 个;3)黄河流域城市经济韧性与生态韧性耦合协调度在不同时期的主要影响因子有所不同,除经济韧性指标中的城镇登记失业人数、专利授权数和生态韧性指标中的园林绿地面积一直是主要影响因子外,GDP在前期属主要影响因子而后期为非主要影响因子,建成区绿化率、工业废水排放量、工业SO2排放量等生态韧性指标在前期属非主要影响因子而后期为主要影响因子,整体上看,经济韧性指标的影响力由强变弱,而生态韧性指标的影响力由弱变强.
Study on the Coupled Coordination Relationship Between Economic Resilience and Ecological Resilience of Cities in the Yellow River Basin
Cities are an important carrier of high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin,and enhancing urban economic and ecologi-cal resilience has become an important aspect of urban high-quality development.In order to provide reference for the comprehensive imple-mentation of the major national strategy of ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin,67 prefecture level cities along the Yellow River were selected as research objects.Based on the analysis of the coupling mechanism between economic resilience and ecological resilience of cities in the Yellow River Basin in 2010,2015 and 2020,the WSR methodology was used to build an evaluation index system for economic resilience and ecological resilience of cities in the Yellow River Basin.The coupling coordination degree model was used to analyze the evolution trend of the coupling coordination between the two,and geographic detectors were used to analyze the main in-fluencing factors of the coupling coordination degree.The results show that a)the coupling coordination of urban economic resilience and eco-logical resilience in the Yellow River Basin is increased first and then decreased overall from 2010 to 2020,but the change is not significant.In space,it shows a trend of downstream being higher than midstream and midstream being higher than upstream.b)The overall coordination degree between economic resilience and ecological resilience in cities in the Yellow River Basin is relatively lower.The number of cities clus-tered according to good coordination,forced coordination,mild imbalance and severe imbalance among 67 cities is 4,7,41 and 15 respec-tively.c)The main influencing factors of the coupling coordination between urban economic resilience and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin vary in different periods.Except for the urban registered unemployment,patent authorization and green space area in the economic resilience indicator,which have always been the main influencing factors,GDP is the main influencing factor in the early stage and then the non main influencing factor.The greening rate of built-up areas,industrial wastewater discharge and the ecological resilience indicators such as industrial SO2 emissions are not the main influencing factors in the early stage and then become the main influencing factors.Overall,the influ-ence of economic resilience indicators has weakened,while the influence of ecological resilience indicators has increased from weak to strong.

economic resilienceecological resilienceWSR theorycoupling coordination degreeYellow River Basin

刘同超、吴丹

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许昌学院 商学院,河南 许昌 461000

河南省科学技术厅,河南 郑州 450008

经济韧性 生态韧性 WSR理论 耦合协调度 黄河流域

国家社会科学基金资助项目河南省哲学社会科学规划年度项目

19BJY0462023BJJ082

2024

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2024.46(3)
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