基于演化博弈的新疆博斯腾湖流域生态补偿机制研究
Study on the Ecological Compensation Mechanism of Bosten Lake Basin in Xinjiang Based on Evolutionary Game
卢泉 1刘雪雪 1刘亮 1王鹏鹏 1冯啸林2
作者信息
- 1. 塔里木大学 经济与管理学院,新疆 阿拉尔 843300
- 2. 新疆科技学院 经济学院,新疆 库尔勒 841000
- 折叠
摘要
流域生态补偿能有效解决资源开发利用过程中产生的外部性问题,对促进流域经济-社会-生态协同发展具有重要意义.基于演化博弈理论分析上级政府与上、下游地方政府的三方动态演化情景,以新疆博斯腾湖流域为研究对象,设定流域生态补偿机制.结果表明:上级政府对违约方征收的罚金高于流域上游生态保护成本和下游生态补偿金时,上、下游才能达到"保护"和"补偿"策略的稳定均衡状态.基于演化结果测算的博斯腾湖生态补偿金、生态保护成本分别为 2.64×107、2.20×107元/a.采用"关键污染因子超标赔偿法"确定以CODMn、NH3-N、TP三类污染物超标为评价依据的处罚标准分别为1 312.51、9 181.56、13 115.08 元/t.
Abstract
The basin ecological compensation can effectively solve the externality issues generated in the process of resources development and utilization,and it is of great significance in promoting the coordinated development of economy-society-ecology in the basin.Based on the evolutionary game theory,this paper analyzed the tripartite dynamic evolution scenarios of the higher government and the upper and lower lo-cal governments.Taking the Bosten Lake basin in Xinjiang as the research object,it set up a basin ecological compensation mechanism.The results indicate that only when the fines imposed by the higher government on the defaulting party are higher than the ecological protection costs and compensation fees in the upstream and downstream of the basin,the upstream and downstream can reach a stable equilibrium state of"protection"and"compensation"strategies.Based on the evolution results,the ecological compensation and ecological protection cost of Bosten Lake are 2.64×107 and 2.20×107 Yuan/year.Adopting the"compensation method for key pollution factors exceeding the standard"to determine penalty standards.The penalty standards based on exceeding the standard for CODMn,NH3-N and TP pollutants are 1 312.51,9 181.56 and 13 115.08 Yuan/t respectively.
关键词
生态补偿/演化博弈/污染物/博斯腾湖/新疆Key words
ecological compensation/evolutionary game/pollutant/Bosten Lake/Xinjiang引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社会科学基金资助项目(19BJY139)
教育部人文社科规划项目(17YJAZH057)
首批国家级新文科建设与实践项目(2021090093)
塔里木大学研究生创新项目(TDGRI202270)
新疆科技学院校级科研基金资助项目(2023-KYPT03)
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据