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低碳经济转型对黄河流域减污降碳协同增效的影响研究

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为丰富和深化低碳经济转型的理论研究和实践探索,基于对低碳经济转型促进减污降碳协同增效机制的理论分析,设定双向固定效应基准模型和机制效应模型,以减污降碳协同效率为被解释变量,以低碳经济转型程度为核心解释变量,以政府财政投入、市场化水平、公众环境关注度为调节变量,以经济发展水平、人口规模、金融发展水平、环境规制强度、工业化水平为控制变量,根据 2010-2020 年黄河流域九省(区)99 个样本城市的面板数据,实证分析了低碳经济转型对黄河流域减污降碳协同增效的促进作用,并进行了一系列稳健性检验、异质性检验、机制分析等.结论如下:无论是否添加控制变量、是否考虑核心解释变量的滞后性,双向固定的基准模型实证结果及稳健性检验结果均表明,低碳经济转型显著促进黄河流域减污降碳协同增效;异质性检验表明,低碳经济转型对黄河流域上游城市、资源型城市、省会城市减污降碳协同增效的促进作用更为显著;机制分析表明,提高市场化水平、政府财政投入、公众环境关注度均对减污降碳协同增效发挥了正向调节作用,即增强了低碳经济转型对黄河流域减污降碳协同增效的促进作用.
Research on the Impact of Low-Carbon Economic Transition on the Synergistic Effect of Pollution Reduction and Carbon Reduction in the Yellow River Basin
In order to enrich and deepen the theoretical research and practical exploration of low-carbon economic transformation and based on the theoretical analysis of the mechanism of low-carbon economic transformation to promote the synergistic efficiency of pollution reduction and carbon reduction,the paper set up a two-way fixed-effects baseline model and a mechanism effect model.Taking the synergistic efficiency of pollution reduction and carbon reduction as the explanatory variable,taking the low-carbon economic transformation as the core explanatory variable,taking the government's financial input,the level of marketisation and the public's concern for the environment as the moderating variables and based on the panel data of 99 sample cities in nine provinces(autonomous regions)of the Yellow River Basin from 2010 to 2020,the paper empirically analyzed the promoting effect of low-carbon economic transformation on the synergies of pollution reduction and carbon reduction in the Yellow River Basin,and conducted a series of robustness tests,heterogeneity tests and mechanism analyses.The con-clusions are as follows:Regardless of whether control variables are added or not,and whether the lag of core explanatory variables is taken into account or not,the empirical results of the two-way fixed baseline model and the results of the robustness test show that the low-carbon economic transition significantly promotes the synergistic efficiency of pollution reduction and carbon reduction in the Yellow River Basin;the test of heterogeneity shows that the low-carbon economic transition promotes the synergistic efficiency of pollution reduction and carbon reduc-tion in the upper reaches of the Yellow River Basin,the resources cities and the capital cities of the provinces more significantly.Mechanism analysis shows that improving the marketisation level,government's financial input,and public concern for the environment all play a posi-tive regulating effect on the synergistic effect of pollution reduction and carbon reduction,i.e.,they enhance the promotional effect of low-car-bon economic transformation on the synergistic effect of pollution reduction and carbon reduction in the Yellow River Basin.

low-carbon economic transitionpollution reduction and carbon emission reductionsynergistic effectYellow River Basin

张伟志、陈学刚

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新疆师范大学 商学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017

新疆师范大学 地理科学与旅游学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830054

低碳经济转型 减污降碳 协同效应 黄河流域

国家自然科学基金资助项目新疆师范大学丝绸之路经济带城市发展研究中心招标课题

41861033XJNURWJD062017B04

2024

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2024.46(10)
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