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基于流域视角的新质生产力发展的区域差异及动态演进

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为给区域因地制宜布局和发展新质生产力、制定有针对性的新质生产力协调发展政策提供依据,基于新型劳动者、新型劳动资料、新型劳动对象 3 个维度构建反映新质生产力发展水平的综合评价指标体系,并从流域视角出发,采用 2015-2022 年 21 个省(市、自治区)相关数据,运用熵权法、Dagum基尼系数及其分解法、Kernel核密度估计法实证考察长江、黄河、珠江三大流域新质生产力发展水平、区域差异及其动态演进趋势。结果表明:1)在时空分布上,三大流域新质生产力发展水平整体呈上升趋势,长江流域新质生产力及其构成要素的发展处于较高水平,珠江流域处于居中水平,黄河流域处于最低水平;2)在区域差异上,长江流域新质生产力内部差异最小,珠江流域内部差异最大,黄河流域与长江流域间差异最大,流域间差异是三大流域新质生产力总体差异的主要来源;3)在动态演进上,三大流域新质生产力发展水平的流域内差异均呈现减小趋势,尤其是长江流域新质生产力均衡化发展趋势更为明显,珠江流域新质生产力发展的非均衡问题较为突出,黄河流域非均衡发展问题虽然呈现减弱趋势,但总体发展水平相对较低,发展新质生产力任务更为艰巨。
Regional Differences and Dynamic Evolution of New Quality Productivity Development Based on Watershed Perspective
In order to provide a basis for regional layout and development of new quality productivity according to local conditions,and for-mulate targeted policies for coordinated development of new quality productivity,a comprehensive index system reflecting the development level of new quality productivity was built based on the three dimensions of new types of workers,new types of labor materials and new types of labor objects.From the perspective of river basin,using the relevant data of 21 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)from 2015 to 2022,the entropy weight method,Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition method,and kernel density estimation method were used to empirically investigate the development level,regional differences and dynamic evolution trend of new quality productivity in the Yan-gtze River,Yellow River and Pearl River basins.The results show that a)in terms of spatial-temporal distribution,the development level of new quality productivity is on the rise as a whole,and the development level of new quality productivity and its components in the Yangtze River Basin is in the leading position,the Pearl River Basin is in the middle level and the Yellow River Basin is at the lowest level;b)In terms of regional differences,the internal differences of new quality productivity in the Yangtze River Basin are the smallest,the internal differences in the Pearl River Basin are the largest,and the differences between groups in the Yellow River basin and the Yangtze River basin are the largest,which is the main source of the overall differences of new quality productivity in the three major basins;c)In terms of dy-namic evolution,the intra-regional gap of the development level of new quality productivity in the three major river basins shows a weakening trend,especially in the Yangtze River Basin,the unbalanced development of new quality productivity in the Pearl River Basin is more promi-nent,and the unbalanced development of the Yellow River Basin has shown a weakening trend,but the overall development level is at a rela-tively low level,and the task of developing new quality productivity is even more arduous.

new quality productivityYellow River BasinYangtze River BasinPearl River Basinregional differences

宁朝山

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聊城大学 商学院,山东 聊城 252059

新质生产力 黄河流域 长江流域 珠江流域 区域差异

2025

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2025.47(1)