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黄河流域数字经济、绿色技术创新与生态保护的三元协调研究

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为探究黄河流域数字经济、绿色技术创新与生态保护发展状态及三者之间的耦合协调关系,并为黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展重大国家战略推进提供借鉴,从理论上探讨黄河流域数字经济、绿色技术创新与生态保护三元耦合协调机理并构建理论框架,以黄河流域 77 个地级市为研究单元,以 2012-2020 年为研究期实证检验黄河流域数字经济、绿色技术创新及生态保护耦合协调水平,并利用全局莫兰指数与Dagum基尼系数法深入探究其耦合协调的时空联系。结果表明:1)2012-2020 年黄河流域数字经济指数、绿色技术创新指数与生态保护指数均呈现稳步增大趋势。其中生态保护指数在 2012-2019 年呈现出小幅度的波动性稳定态势,但在研究期末即 2020 年大幅提升。2)黄河流域的数字经济、绿色技术创新与生态保护的耦合协调度在研究期内稳步上升。通过空间演变格局分析可知,在研究期内各市均已摆脱严重失调等级,协调等级的市也在研究期内经历从无到有的过程,其中西安、郑州与济南三市跻身初级协调等级。3)从耦合协调的时空联系来看,一方面黄河流域各市数字经济、绿色技术创新与生态保护耦合协调度存在明显的正向空间聚集效应,另一方面耦合协调度的总体Dagum基尼系数呈波动下降趋势,流域总体差异在逐步缩小,但下游地区与中上游地区之间的耦合协调发展差异在逐渐扩大。根据差异贡献率可知,耦合协调的发展差异主要来源于区域间发展差异。
Research on the Triple Coordination of Digital Economy,Green Technology Innovation,and Ecological Protection in the Yellow River Basin
In order to explore the current development status of digital economy,green technology innovation and ecological protection in the Yellow River Basin,as well as the coupling,coordination and interaction relationship among the three,and provide useful reference for the promotion of ecological protection and high-quality development strategies in the Yellow River Basin,on the one hand,to theoretically decon-struct the coupling and coordination mechanism of the three systems of digital economy,green technology innovation and ecological protection in the Yellow River Basin and construct a theoretical framework,on the other hand,taking 77 prefecture level cities in the Yellow River Ba-sin as research units and using 2012-2020 as the research period,this study empirically tested the current status of digital economy,green technology innovation and ecological protection development,and their coupled coordination level in the Yellow River Basin.The results show that a)from 2012 to 2020,the digital economy,green technology innovation and ecological protection index in the Yellow River Basin all show a steady upward trend.The ecological protection index shows a slight fluctuation and stable trend from 2012 to 2019,but shows a signif-icant increase at the end of the research period in 2020.b)The coupling and coordination index of digital economy,green technology innova-tion and ecological protection in the Yellow River Basin has steadily increased during the research period.Through spatial evolution pattern analysis,it can be seen that cities along the basin have all crossed a serious imbalance state during the research period,and cities in a coor-dinated state have also gone through a process from scratch during the research period.Among them,Xi'an,Zhengzhou and Jinan have en-tered into the primary coordination stage.c)From the perspective of the spatial-temporal relationship of coupling coordination,on the one hand,there is a significant positive spatial clustering effect on the coupling coordination degree of digital economy,green technology innova-tion and ecological protection in various cities in the Yellow River Basin.On the other hand,the overall Gini coefficient of the coupling coor-dination degree shows a fluctuating downward trend,and the overall differences in the basin are gradually narrowing.However,specifically,the differences in the coupling coordination development between downstream and upstream regions are gradually expanding.Furthermore,ac-cording to the contribution rate of differences,it can be inferred that the development differences of coupling coordination mainly come from the development differences between watersheds.

digital economygreen technological innovationcoupling coordinationYellow River Basin

阮连杰、李媛、任保平

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南京大学 数字经济与管理学院,江苏 苏州 215163

西安财经大学 公共管理学院,陕西 西安 710061

数字经济 绿色技术创新 耦合协调 黄河流域

2025

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2025.47(1)