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引大入秦工程受水区水资源承载力评价

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为探究引大入秦工程受水区水资源承载力状况及受水区水资源、社会经济和生态环境三者之间的协调关系,运用熵权TOPSIS、耦合协调度和障碍度模型,开展受水区水资源承载力评价,分析 2017-2021 年受水区纵横向维度水资源承载力、子系统间的耦合协调度和影响水资源承载力的关键因素。结果表明:2017-2021 年引大入秦工程受水区水资源承载力贴近度呈上升趋势,水资源承载能力总体较好;研究期水资源承载力贴近度均值兰州新区最高,为 0。78,对应等级为优秀;受水区耦合协调度由 2017 年的0。797 波动上升至 2021 年的 0。800,说明水资源承载力各子系统之间处于良好协调状态;产水模数、人均水资源量、单位耕地水资源量、降水量、建成区绿化覆盖率和生态用水率是阻碍受水区水资源承载力提升的主要因素。
Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in the Water Receiving Area of the Water Diversion Project from Datong River to Qinwangchuan Region
In order to master the water resources carrying capacity in the water receiving area of the Water Diversion Project from Datong Riv-er to Qinwangchuan region and the coordination of the development of water receiving area,therefore,the water resources carrying capacity assessment research in water receiving area of the Water Diversion Project from Datong River to Qinwangchuan region was selected as re-search object,and the coordination relationship between water resources,social economy and ecological environment was explored.The entro-py weight TOPSIS model,coupling coordination degree model and obstacle model were used to analyze the crucial elements of the water re-sources bearing capacity,the coupling coordination between subsystems and the water resources carrying capacity in the engineering water re-ceiving area from 2017 to 2021.The findings indicate that from 2017 to 2021,the closeness value of water resources carrying capacity in the project water receiving area shows an upward trend,and the overall water resources carrying capacity is good.The average closeness degree of water resources carrying capacity in Lanzhou new area is the highest,which is 0.78,and the corresponding level is excellent.The coupling coordination degree of the project water receiving area is increased from 0.797 to 0.800,and it instructs that the water resources bearing ca-pacity subsystems are in a good coordination stage.The main factors that impeding the water resources carrying capacity of the project water receiving area encompass water yield modulus,per capita water resources,water resources per unit of cultivated land,precipitation,green coverage rate of built-up areas and ecological water use rate.

entropy weight TOPSIScoupling coordination degreeobstaclewater resources carrying capacityWater Diversion Project from Datong River to Qinwangchuan Region

王新苑、张芮、舒和平、柴尔政、李娜

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甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,甘肃 兰州 730070

甘肃省引大入秦水资源利用中心,甘肃 兰州 730300

熵权TOPSIS 耦合协调度 障碍度 水资源承载力 引大入秦工程

2025

人民黄河
水利部黄河水利委员会

人民黄河

北大核心
影响因子:0.494
ISSN:1000-1379
年,卷(期):2025.47(1)