首页|城市减污降碳绿色发展水平及耦合协调效应研究——以昆明市为例

城市减污降碳绿色发展水平及耦合协调效应研究——以昆明市为例

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以昆明市为研究区域,利用层次分析法构建了城市减污降碳绿色发展水平综合评价体系,结合熵权法定量评价昆明市城市减污降碳绿色发展水平,并利用三元耦合协调度模型对其耦合协调效应演进过程进行分析。研究结果显示,2005-2020年期间昆明市降碳减污绿色发展协调发展度(即综合评价指数)呈现持续上升趋势,年均增长速度为12。3%,评估结果达到良的水平,单位GDP建设用地面积、单位GDP能源消耗、单位GDP二氧化碳排放量、单位工业增加值化学需氧量排放量是最主要影响因素;减污降碳绿色发展的耦合协调度指数呈现持续上升趋势,三个系统之间的耦合协调度由失调衰退阶段逐渐向过渡调和阶段、协调发展阶段转变,环境治理、低碳建设是耦合协调效应变化的主要影响因素。未来仍需以绿色低碳发展模式为统领,将减污和降碳工作统筹起来,以实现降碳减污绿色发展耦合协调效应尽快达到并稳定在优质协调发展程度。。
Research on Green Development and Coupling Coordination Effect of Urban Pollution Reduction and Carbon Reduction:A Case Study of Kunming
Kunming city was taken as a research area,and a comprehensive evaluation system of urban pollution reduction,carbon reduction and green development was constructed by using the hierarchical analysis method(AHP),the pollution reduction,carbon reduction and green development in Kunming City was quantitatively analyzed in combination with the entropy weighting method,and the evolution process of its coupling coordination effect was analyzed by using the ternary coupling coordination degree model.The results indicated:the degree of coordinated development(i.e.,the comprehensive evaluation index)of pollution reduction,carbon reduction and green development in Kunming City were increasing during the period of 2005 to 2020,with an average annual growth rate of 12.3%and a great evaluation result.The construction land area per unit of GDP,the energy consumption per unit of GDP,the carbon dioxide emission per unit of GDP,and the chemical oxygen demand emission per unit of industrial added value were the most important influence factors.The degree of coupling and coordination amongof pollution reduction,carbon reduction and green development showed a continuous upward trend,the coupling and coordination between the three subsystems gradually changed from the stage of imbalance and decline to the stage of transitional harmonization and coordinated development.The main influence factors were the environmental governance and low-carbon con-struction.In the future,it is still necessary to adhere to the green and low-carbon development model,and integrate the work of pollution reduction and carbon reduction,so as to achieve the coupling and coordination effect of carbon reduction and pollution reduction and green development as soon as possible and remain the high-quality coordinated development.

Analytic hierarchy processentropy weight methodcoupling coordination degreepollution reduction and carbon reductionKunming

李中杰、李亚丽、蔺莉、汪艳如、张大为

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昆明市生态环境科学研究院,昆明 650032

层次分析法 熵权法 耦合协调度 减污降碳 昆明

云南省省级生态环境保护专项(2023)昆明市决策咨询研究课题

云财资环[2023]34号2022-2

2024

四川环境
四川省环境保护科学研究院 四川省环境科学学会

四川环境

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.444
ISSN:1001-3644
年,卷(期):2024.43(2)
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